La Liga · resolved market
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5603c16356a565f207d5e511b109d957681ca7bf08bd7d5afc718eded21282b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 22,456$5,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,467.35 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b6…9dbdbacked Over | 73c | 18,304$13,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,941.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 74c | 3,638$2,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.7 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 27c | 2,595$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.86 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 80c | 2,499$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 73c | 1,912$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.33 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 1,569$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.66 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67f…c7f6backed Under | 17c | 1,480$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 73c | 1,480$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.6 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 26c | 1,344$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.44 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 26c | 899.97$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.99 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 12c | 635.7$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Under | 27c | 499.95$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.49 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 75c | 494$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.98 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…afb0backed Under | 29c | 413.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed Over | 71c | 399.99$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 27c | 397.45$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.57 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 27c | 389.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.29 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Over | 73c | 384.71$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d56…4a65backed Over | 73c | 383.34$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 73c | 339.73$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.73 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3aa…7a89backed Under | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 73c | 278.24$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.91 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 73c | 272.6$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 27c | 268.11$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Over | 73c | 247$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 26c | 221.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 9c | 207.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 14c | 186.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 28c | 179.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 27c | 169$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 28c | 163.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 27c | 163.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 18c | 158.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 10c | 136.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…dbb5backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cc…5865backed Over | 73c | 134.44$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 73c | 124$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 42 | 83.3%35 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ceb…be53backed Over | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 74c | 70.74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 73c | 68.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 34 | 88.2%30 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…10aebacked Under | 27c | 66.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 74c | 54.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99df…b59abacked Under | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…f6e4backed Over | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…d0f5backed Under | 28c | 45.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Under | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9893…5fa7backed Over | 73c | 37.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…6695backed Over | 74c | 33.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 74c | 32.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9824…6572backed Over | 73c | 25.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 74c | 25.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…ad3dbacked Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…9904backed Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 77c | 18.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0534backed Over | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +326.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5this page
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.