TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcce5…afb0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$17.02
Lionel Messi: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$29.05
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+142.4%+$42.73
Norway to score first vs. England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$49.06
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.79
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+99.7%+$19.94
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$11.95
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.98
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$6.71
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Poland win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Serbia win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Czechia win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$147.27
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1586.7%13 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+51%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.56
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$63.05
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$27.96
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+44.4%+$75.54
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+61%+$183.13
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+75.4%+$105.61
Mavericks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$79.57
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$265.97
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+26.6%+$93.68
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+66.7%+$160
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+85.2%+$187.41
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,036Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$1,301.46
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,200
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,509Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,509.37
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$315.14
Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+38.9%+$131.27
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$254
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$50
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+137%+$191.86
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$149.79
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$159.15
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13.98
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$21.52
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick23cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+68.8%+$206.31
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$36.26
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+386.7%+$1,071.13
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+127.2%+$237.77
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$690.4
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$47.22
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$179.39
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.65
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+117.5%+$74.84
Will Elon Musk post 130-139 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+195.5%+$790.38
Will Elon Musk post 120-129 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-41.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$20.84
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.12
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$105
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$118
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+69.1%+$172.87
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+128.3%+$497.33
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+143.9%+$115.12
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.17
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$21.56
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
FC Barcelona vs. FC København: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$699Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$699.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.23
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+83.4%+$333.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+195.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+195.4%+$117.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$50.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+36.3%+$58.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$34.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs 33 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeju SK FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.