MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4094d8cf599e109b07348ff1404c3346188d2e26f33a4f27c3d116b34df06e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Atlanta Braves, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $670,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $735,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $670,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 515 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 126,979$68,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,721.07 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 56,920$29,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,563.73 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 54,110$24,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,221.79 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 47,826$25,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,347.84 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 38,574$17,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,830.15 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,199.92 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 18,486$10,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,370.92 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 15,563$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,248.6 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 15,113$6,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,443.06 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,100 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 13,605$7,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,078.68 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 12,900$6,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,837 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 12,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Atlanta Braves | 28c | 9,645$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.78 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Reds | 68c | 9,580$6,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.65 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 8,058$4,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,040.59 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves | 28c | 7,967$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.85 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 7,642$2,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,946.41 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 7,407$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 7,352$3,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,969.88 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 7,213$3,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,895.1 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 6,839$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675.73 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 6,784$2,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,761.41 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Atlanta Braves | 6c | 6,776$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 6,387$3,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,455.25 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 6,085$3,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,385.43 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…c6b0backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 5,644$3,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,047.54 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.9 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 4,848$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.72 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 4,400$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.61 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 4,184$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.01 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 3,835$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 3,556$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.16 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 3,480$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.19 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 3,257$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Atlanta Braves | 30c | 3,018$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.82 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.99 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.99 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…5d5fbacked Atlanta Braves | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 2,850$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.89 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.1 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 2,152$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.73 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 2,102$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.77 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 2,089$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.02 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 2,010$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.6 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 2,001$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.67 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…8c98backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Atlanta Braves | 32c | 1,957$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.72 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,906$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.6 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…60aebacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 1,877$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.81 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,858$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.25 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,824$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.71 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,800$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 1,788$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.28 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,787$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.24 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 1,720$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.84 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 1,702$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.99 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Atlanta Braves | 11c | 1,601$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.79 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 1,600$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,600$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.04 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…fc89backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 1,571$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 298 | 43.6%130 W · 168 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,524$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.72 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,521$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.99 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.98 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,500$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.88 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,482$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 1,389$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ad…c49dbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 1,375$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ab…8cefbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 1,327$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.79 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 1,274$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,255$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.06 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc73…6cafbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 1,202$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.08 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,170$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…863bbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 1,152$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,047$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.32 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 1,033$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,029$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.47 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.05 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.05 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Atlanta Braves | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373d…303fbacked Atlanta Braves | 33c | 976.45$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 939.99$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.8 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…7147backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 937.59$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.72 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 891.14$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.21 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 870.6$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.4 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…f03dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 853.23$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.81 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.