MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b451b96c3b03eb23dea411e3841d56e57e3315b0758f837e82776d6266616ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $387,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $389,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $387,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Over | 53c | 210,025$110,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,131.53 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 47c | 170,000$79,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,900 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 53c | 88,256$46,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,480.32 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 48c | 28,481$13,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,707.37 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 15,401$7,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,392.42 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 48c | 15,399$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316.46 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Under | 47c | 14,513$6,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,821.33 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 12,515$5,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,853.77 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6879…a58dbacked Over | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe467…d3ebbacked Under | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 48c | 8,453$4,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,039.4 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 6,641$3,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,187.5 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 52c | 6,129$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,943 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 5,183$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.96 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 3,910$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.52 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 47c | 3,821$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.22 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 2,431$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.66 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…f03dbacked Under | 48c | 2,200$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 47c | 2,127$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.69 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 47c | 2,000$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.11 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 2,000$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.82 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 49c | 1,345$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.99 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 52c | 1,294$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.97 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 48c | 1,178$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.56 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 53c | 1,064$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.08 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 47c | 1,040$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.87 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 47c | 1,005$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.53 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.05 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 48c | 994.69$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.52 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 47c | 979.96$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.13 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 47c | 807$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.34 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 729$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Over | 71c | 701.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.38 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 47c | 675.18$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.34 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 39c | 609.7$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.78 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 54c | 466.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.54 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Under | 48c | 454.46$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.14 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 48c | 443$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.71 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 47c | 342$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.74 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 48c | 304.92$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.36 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 47c | 301.91$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 47c | 280.21$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.03 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 47c | 245.69$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.51 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd9…be42backed Under | 42c | 237.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 47c | 236.11$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.97 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 16c | 230.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 25c | 225.77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 48c | 220$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Under | 48c | 211.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…accbbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 47c | 163.78$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Over | 54c | 157.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 10c | 149.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 49c | 143.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.28 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 47c | 135$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed Under | 48c | 127.45$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 47c | 127$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 48c | 119.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 47c | 113$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 53c | 110.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 49c | 98.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a80…2dadbacked Under | 48c | 95.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked Under | 49c | 89.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 51c | 87.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 47c | 85.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Under | 33c | 83.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Under | 48c | 73.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Under | 47c | 68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 67.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Over | 53c | 63.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 28c | 62.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 32c | 62.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 50c | 60.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7630…d7fabacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 53c | 53.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729e…a820backed Under | 48c | 51.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c94…1f7dbacked Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati RedsCincinnati Reds won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.