TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7630…d7fa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$18.91
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.75
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.47
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.8
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.75
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$21
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.75
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$23.2
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.52
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.65
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.75
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.22
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.81
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$8.01
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.92
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+60.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+96.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+52.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$49.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$5.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.