MLB · resolved market
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x946c26e77b08c2ae5da42c62f67b2ac013c3d787cc6b43e540d5051ec81cce71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 14,063$8,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,297.27 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 5,952$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,452.38 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 4,909$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847.28 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 4,601$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.57 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 3,116$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.48 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 2,008$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.86 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 1,999$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.76 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 1,690$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.19 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 1,145$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.3 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 999.97$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.98 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 981.07$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.21 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 910.46$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.17 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 870.53$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.44 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 833.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.33 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 676$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.84 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 72c | 623.19$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.59 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 586.55$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.2 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 510.59$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.7 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 471.85$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.39 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 385.04$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.68 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 368.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.02 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 349.49$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 260$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 230.66$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.09 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 182.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 178.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.57 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 171.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.61 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Toronto Blue Jays | 67c | 169.71$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 163$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.17 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…fdebbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 151.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 148.9$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 112.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 109.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 104.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 79.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Toronto Blue Jays | 28c | 69.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 66.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a9…1e17backed Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 63.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 78c | 62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb6…4fe4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 58.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 57.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 53.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 51.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 49.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 49.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 49.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 43.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 43.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 41.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 73c | 41.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 38.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 36.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 36.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…2fa8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 36.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 222 | 54.1%120 W · 102 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 36.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 36.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 35.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 32.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 31.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 30.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Toronto Blue Jays | 71c | 27.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 26.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7630…d7fabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 26.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 22.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 71c | 14.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.