MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5115aeb560b43aa42720bcc7fe9d9e4560c08e5efe864f6b9286472e1c4b8137
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Pittsburgh Pirates, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,117,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,132,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,117,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 600,177$244,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244,707.92 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 331,215$190,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140,303.66 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 91,585$54,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,361.9 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 60,000$35,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,200 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 46,500$27,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,599.99 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 44,444$26,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,777.6 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 44,194$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 31c | 39,726$12,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,254.28 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 18c | 19,808$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 18,380$10,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,535.7 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 14,760$8,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,730.71 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 70c | 13,051$9,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,925.07 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 12,102$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 11,194$6,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,404.4 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 10,878$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,878.27 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 10,805$4,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,887.88 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 31c | 10,474$3,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,272.33 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 10,450$7,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335.32 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 10,155$4,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,179.22 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 9,010$5,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,693.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 8,474$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,474.34 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 7,317$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 6,302$3,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,493.19 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 5,912$3,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.73 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 5,438$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.59 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 4,293$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.63 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…a549backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 4c | 4,268$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 4,161$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.07 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 4,091$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.26 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 3,468$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.19 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 3,300$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 2,986$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.49 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 2,915$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.38 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 2,111$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.5 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 2,020$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.38 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 2,000$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 2,000$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 1,826$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.4 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…1ba4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 1,650$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 1,540$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.2 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Blue Jays | 70c | 1,502$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.24 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 1,421$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.66 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Toronto Blue Jays | 69c | 1,303$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.24 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 30c | 1,068$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.93 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 29c | 1,058$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.69 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 1,050$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,000$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.63 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,000$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.86 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 1,000$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.77 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 842.71$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.48 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 818$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.2 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 800$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 8c | 799.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…ba42backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 795.29$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e81…e973backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 25c | 767.68$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 765$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.67 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 30c | 754.55$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.63 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…712bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 5c | 721.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 13c | 704.19$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2df…1198backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 700.83$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 700$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 70c | 644.47$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.15 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…bdbebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 609.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.97 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 595.24$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.05 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 79c | 556.2$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.19 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 553.98$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.56 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 516$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.4 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…fe26backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 457.63$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.63 | 137 | 59.1%81 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 420$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 420$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.1 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 407$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.57 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf714…0934backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 17c | 399.12$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 385$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.85 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 375.37$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.41 | 360 | 50.3%181 W · 179 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1332…2b23backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 19c | 370.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 367.12$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.23 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 14c | 357$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 336.44$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.73 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 334.31$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.52 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 31c | 322.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.