TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac65…cfe6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
243
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT13759.1%81 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 137 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+135.6%+$1,166.03
Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$590
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$223.1
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$429
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$393.42
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$551.45
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$239
Bryan Woo: Strikeouts O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Robbie Ray: Strikeouts O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$531
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$288.8
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$208.72
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$348.74
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$379
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+115%+$259.73
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$197.88
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$165.82
Showing 25 of 137 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT5463%34 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dana White's Contender Series: Kaik Brito vs. Namo Fazil (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Namo Fazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Mackenzie Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$281.25
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$247.04
UFC 330: Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Donte Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$345.15
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Tresean Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$658Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$538.36
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Rizvan Kuniev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$93
UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Christian Leroy Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$153.36
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$53.74
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$849.58
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,750
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$16.17
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Robert Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$484.27
UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Luke Riley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$871Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$318.04
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$14.14
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$187.44
UFC Fight Night: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Asu Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$236.71
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
UFC Fight Night: Eric Nolan vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Farman Hasanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$63.4
UFC Fight Night: Nursulton Ruziboev vs. Andrey Pulyaev (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Nursulton Ruziboev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$899Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$454.82
UFC Fight Night: Javier Reyes vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Javier Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Manel Kape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$180
UFC Fight Night: Christian Rodriguez vs. Hyder Amil (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Christian Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$189.6
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Allan Nascimento · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$189
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT3473.5%25 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$132.41
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$74.83
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$210.41
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,021Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+103.9%+$1,061.12
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38.01
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$32.32
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+88%+$89.79
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$830Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$491.59
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$311.38
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+101.1%+$546.16
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.65
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$50.92
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$390
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 27.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$472
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$83.29
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$34.57
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$171.14
76ers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$448.84
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$369.44
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$799Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$798.66
Suns vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$430.89
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$550.73
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+44.9%+$170.72
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+42.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
GB vs. PIT: O/U 37.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$219
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$407
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+41%+$352.27
Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)backed RC Strasbourg Alsace · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$217.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$801Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$801
Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)backed FC Dallas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,079Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$439.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$179.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.