UFC · resolved market
UFC 330: Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fd17419881b385acbcc4ec6a2e227c8bd88fd798cbb83f9dea3def7617a7ce6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Donte Johnsonof Eric McConico, Donte Johnson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $301,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $317,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x533c…2658backed Donte Johnson | 75c | 36,025$27,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,006.21 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…1cedbacked Donte Johnson | 75c | 27,805$20,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,931.28 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Eric McConico | 25c | 26,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Donte Johnson | 75c | 25,221$18,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,305.34 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb727…2a9dbacked Eric McConico | 25c | 25,000$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Eric McConico | 25c | 21,221$5,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,341.97 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Donte Johnson | 76c | 19,737$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,736.84 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Eric McConico | 23c | 14,059$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,244.73 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Eric McConico | 25c | 12,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Donte Johnson | 77c | 10,899$8,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.7 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3c…e7cbbacked Donte Johnson | 71c | 10,244$7,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked Eric McConico | 25c | 8,576$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Eric McConico | 24c | 8,467$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.92 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Eric McConico | 25c | 8,208$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053 | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Donte Johnson | 75c | 7,500$5,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Eric McConico | 27c | 5,302$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.24 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Eric McConico | 23c | 5,179$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.54 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Donte Johnson | 74c | 5,139$3,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.34 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfd…95c4backed Eric McConico | 25c | 5,029$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Eric McConico | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +13.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Donte Johnson | 75c | 5,000$3,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Eric McConico | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Donte Johnson | 66c | 4,906$3,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.04 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d76…00d5backed Eric McConico | 34c | 4,696$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed Eric McConico | 26c | 4,606$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a92…3c67backed Eric McConico | 26c | 3,846$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Donte Johnson | 70c | 3,179$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.7 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Eric McConico | 17c | 3,131$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.79 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Donte Johnson | 76c | 2,919$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.65 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Donte Johnson | 77c | 2,599$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.51 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Donte Johnson | 75c | 2,227$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.68 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Eric McConico | 31c | 2,225$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.84 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Eric McConico | 28c | 2,150$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…268ebacked Eric McConico | 29c | 2,070$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.3 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Eric McConico | 26c | 2,034$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.81 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Donte Johnson | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb450…eaefbacked Eric McConico | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…4b58backed Eric McConico | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Eric McConico | 19c | 2,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Eric McConico | 29c | 1,914$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.4 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Donte Johnson | 77c | 1,820$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.67 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Eric McConico | 30c | 1,818$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.45 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Eric McConico | 25c | 1,744$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Eric McConico | 23c | 1,732$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.38 | 417 | 54%225 W · 192 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…7aa2backed Eric McConico | 18c | 1,693$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Eric McConico | 24c | 1,590$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.32 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ad…044fbacked Donte Johnson | 66c | 1,504$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.2 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…964abacked Eric McConico | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Eric McConico | 32c | 1,480$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.59 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Donte Johnson | 67c | 1,471$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.85 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Donte Johnson | 74c | 1,350$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Eric McConico | 29c | 1,182$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.64 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Eric McConico | 24c | 1,165$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.95 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +31%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Eric McConico | 27c | 1,102$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.03 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Eric McConico | 26c | 1,016$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Donte Johnson | 66c | 1,015$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.15 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Eric McConico | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Eric McConico | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Eric McConico | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Eric McConico | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…1f65backed Eric McConico | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -85%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…c9eabacked Eric McConico | 24c | 940.73$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.78 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Donte Johnson | 78c | 914.48$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.24 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Donte Johnson | 68c | 874$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.68 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Donte Johnson | 79c | 846.3$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Eric McConico | 30c | 807.74$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…ff5ebacked Eric McConico | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Eric McConico | 25c | 747.71$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.53 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…2e26backed Eric McConico | 22c | 717.26$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.86 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8807…d08abacked Donte Johnson | 76c | 705$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Donte Johnson | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…ca89backed Eric McConico | 25c | 650$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe650…0944backed Eric McConico | 31c | 619.98$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.39 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Eric McConico | 18c | 609.77$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Eric McConico | 25c | 596$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Donte Johnson | 72c | 552.06$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.7 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf023…3cc4backed Donte Johnson | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Eric McConico | 18c | 518.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Donte Johnson | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Donte Johnson | 74c | 489.88$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.37 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Eric McConico | 26c | 488.78$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Eric McConico | 25c | 480.76$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.19 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed Eric McConico | 20c | 480.67$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.71 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf334…bdefbacked Donte Johnson | 76c | 460.53$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.53 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8acb…6701backed Eric McConico | 29c | 438.11$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0d…f8bebacked Donte Johnson | 77c | 437.66$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…f54ebacked Donte Johnson | 75c | 432$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…51f0backed Donte Johnson | 68c | 430.27$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Eric McConico | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Eric McConico | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Donte Johnson | 75c | 416.69$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.17 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Eric McConico | 25c | 413$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.25 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Donte Johnson | 78c | 397$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.34 | 356 | 48.6%173 W · 183 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd422…7e43backed Donte Johnson | 76c | 395$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Donte Johnson | 75c | 382.81$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44da…e225backed Donte Johnson | 74c | 380.07$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2a…5650backed Eric McConico | 35c | 342.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Eric McConico | 25c | 326$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Eric McConico | 25c | 316.04$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.01 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Eric McConico | 28c | 308.82$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.47 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 330: Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Early Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Donte Johnson win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.