TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe65b…271b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
550
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Commodities, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 59 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT12549.6%62 W · 63 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 125 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$450
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.85
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$66.99
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.19
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Showing 25 of 125 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT10249%50 W · 52 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,479.98
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Skybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$440
Washington Mystics vs. Portland Firebacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.18
Indiana Fever vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$471.41
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$610
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Skybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Portland Fire vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$412
Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Skybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,327Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$442.34
Los Angeles Sparks vs. PortlandFirebacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+108.9%+$104.22
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 181.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFirebacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$458
Chicago Sky vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$49.97
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wingsbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,496Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+27%+$404.48
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT7460.8%45 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gregory Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$329.99
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Vitor Petrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$428.72
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Reinier de Ridder (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2,200
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mason Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,696Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,696
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
UFC Fight Night: Jamall Emmers vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Lerryan Douglas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,540
UFC Fight Night: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Shamil Gaziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$188
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$571Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$428.95
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Mackenzie Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,290Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+55%+$710
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jalin Turner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
UFC 330: Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Donte Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$460
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Ezra Elliott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,460Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$540
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$197.5
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$205
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Belal Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brendan Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Farés Ziam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bryce Mitchell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Édgar Cháirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT6847.1%32 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$832Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$831.83
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$10
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$465
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,284.18
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$105
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$320
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.99
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$640
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$96
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$233
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 10.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.99
Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$210
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT3551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$743Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$742.75
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+46%+$459.69
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$279
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,958Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,957.5
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$79.37
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$360
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$95
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.59
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,676Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$524
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)backed Panama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.3
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$938Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$402.96
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.8
Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$400
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$617Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$394
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$658Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$439.25
Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$600
Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.37
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Canucks vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$933Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$464.2
Lightning vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,522Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$509.47
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Wild vs. Bruinsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,559.98
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,619.99
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,146.83
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$284
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$620
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,950Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,050
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31%+$710
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$172
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$120
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,477Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$518.81
Kansas Jayhawks vs. BYU Cougars (W)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.54
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.18
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.96
Will Texas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$651Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$651.17
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$183
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-10.5)backed High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+82%+$97.57
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$106.36
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$84.44
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-10.5)backed High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$100.65
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.28
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-6.5)backed SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$142.68
Spread: Lehigh Mountain Hawks (-3.5)backed Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$101.09
Spread: Texas Longhorns (-1.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$242.33
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Zandschulp vs Danielbacked Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.74
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$77
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Mauthausen: Roman Safiullin vs Titouan Droguetbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Filsbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Miami Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mbokobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick57cpaid+116.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$774Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$774
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,710Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$1,290
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$280
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$440
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,429Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$823.72
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$425
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$340
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+287.6%+$51.94
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick61cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+122.3%+$223.36
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.72
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$59.99
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$279.35
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$173.98
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$748Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$252.15
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick41cpaid+348%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+45.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+103.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.57
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$72.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+198%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+198%+$207.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$182
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.