Mls · resolved market
Will CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb27876d2e1092f99a12b8eb8a19bed0b36c811a7a8cb77248634c4d04ee6d433
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 64c | 31,624$20,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,416.43 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 41c | 15,728$6,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,395.49 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 27c | 11,307$3,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,072.05 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 4c | 6,712$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.35 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 27c | 6,176$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.29 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked No | 41c | 5,109$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 3c | 4,740$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.94 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…ff0fbacked No | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc93…718bbacked No | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 51c | 2,856$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.56 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 73c | 2,332$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.96 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…36ddbacked No | 74c | 1,959$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 72c | 1,769$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.13 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 72c | 1,763$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.17 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 40c | 1,748$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 26c | 1,747$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.64 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 55c | 1,378$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.59 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 68c | 1,150$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.45 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaff…5cb1backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed No | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 44c | 993.02$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 73c | 901.97$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.44 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked No | 2c | 838.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Yes | 77c | 830.57$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 2c | 721$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 71c | 714$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.27 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked No | 6c | 666.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 5c | 658.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 626$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.76 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked No | 51c | 620.41$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.41 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ca87backed No | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed No | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 591.62$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.22 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 27c | 584.47$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.66 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 71c | 525.46$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.67 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 36c | 473.3$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.41 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 26c | 415$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.1 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked No | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Yes | 33c | 388.67$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +215.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Yes | 80c | 319.55$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed No | 27c | 307$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.89 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 21c | 285.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 230$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.32 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 73c | 226.96$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed No | 26c | 220$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4267…4ccebacked Yes | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…6eaabacked No | 30c | 204.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed No | 27c | 203.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked No | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Yes | 48c | 196.81$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee9…ff13backed Yes | 27c | 177.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed No | 55c | 176.59$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 25c | 166.75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.06 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked No | 25c | 158.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 36c | 130.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 77c | 114$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 74c | 113.43$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.43 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 102.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed No | 27c | 97.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Yes | 54c | 90.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…0f24backed Yes | 29c | 89.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…4750backed Yes | 45c | 83.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 21c | 61.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f53…5e9fbacked Yes | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 74c | 59.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed No | 52c | 55.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Yes | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecd…4243backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…fa2ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…a30bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…ea79backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…845fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed No | 29c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…a2a8backed Yes | 76c | 37.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 34c | 36.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5983…83d6backed No | 32c | 35.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…e090backed Yes | 61c | 35.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 75c | 35.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 39c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 39c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 66c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…0979backed Yes | 32c | 31.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf202…9ea8backed Yes | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 30.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 74c | 28.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…5452backed Yes | 59c | 25.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17b…95cbbacked Yes | 64c | 23.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed No | 66c | 20.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?this page
- Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-16?No won
- Will Toronto FC win on 2026-07-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.