Mls · resolved market
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57784b4d897ff8854e0a9c2f6faf195dbd7510b393a4943faa9da6b2005a241f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed Yes | 30c | 46,131$13,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,819.54 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 15c | 8,986$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.77 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 69c | 8,487$5,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.54 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf1…a694backed No | 69c | 8,079$5,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 7,086$4,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.65 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 67c | 6,370$4,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Yes | 32c | 6,250$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…ef2cbacked No | 70c | 4,300$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 3,999$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.5 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 68c | 3,965$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.89 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked No | 70c | 3,400$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 70c | 3,317$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.28 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61f…2c30backed Yes | 31c | 3,197$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed No | 79c | 3,048$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 2,820$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.28 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 7c | 2,546$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.3 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 2,411$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.06 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 2,053$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.69 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 32c | 1,992$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.6 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 17c | 1,845$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.08 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 33c | 1,659$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.33 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 69c | 1,324$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.44 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 69c | 1,162$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.43 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes | 11c | 1,130$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.84 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 70c | 1,024$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.64 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 79c | 815.79$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.44 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Yes | 23c | 797.4$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4267…4ccebacked Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed Yes | 3c | 648.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 70c | 606.9$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 73c | 600$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked No | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Yes | 31c | 599.97$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed Yes | 9c | 555.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 551$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked No | 68c | 550.72$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 71c | 535$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.22 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 535$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.22 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…d02bbacked Yes | 17c | 519.06$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b1…7cf8backed Yes | 3c | 505.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 488.19$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.79 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Yes | 2c | 487.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 33c | 395$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.35 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 71c | 392$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.68 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 31c | 376.02$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…dcf1backed No | 70c | 352.07$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed No | 70c | 334.33$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 8c | 291$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 26c | 285$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…18cdbacked No | 71c | 254.98$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.09 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked No | 69c | 250.04$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed No | 71c | 227$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 220.42$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.86 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 70c | 214$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 32c | 202.03$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked No | 77c | 199.98$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked No | 75c | 175.22$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 33c | 157.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f48…a145backed Yes | 33c | 151.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Yes | 19c | 149.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 70c | 149$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…cd6bbacked Yes | 33c | 148.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Yes | 25c | 140.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 71c | 138$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 68c | 134.91$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 33c | 133.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 73cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 16c | 121$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 120.88$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 70c | 114.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes | 21c | 112$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Yes | 32c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 21c | 105$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 33c | 103.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked No | 68c | 100.96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 32c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 70c | 95.71$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed No | 71c | 83.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked No | 71c | 83.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 70c | 75.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746c…36aabacked Yes | 28c | 70.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 71c | 63.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 69c | 61.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 71c | 61.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…8593backed Yes | 30c | 57.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 77c | 57.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 33c | 51.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 22c | 50.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Yes | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed No | 68c | 47.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked No | 71c | 46.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2153backed No | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 43.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toronto FC win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.