TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x28e0…2e6b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
723
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Dota2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT51744.7%231 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 517 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$120.87
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Rio Noguchibacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$563.85
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moez Echargui vs Hugo Dellienbacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$506
Monterrey Open: Shuai Zhang vs Maria Timofeevabacked Maria Timofeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$80
Roehampton 2: Fabrizio Andaloro vs Emile Huddbacked Fabrizio Andaloro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$341.63
US Open, Qualification WTA: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.29
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$649.32
Monterrey Open: Clara Tauson vs Renata Zarazuabacked Renata Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$458.53
Winston-Salem Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$820
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajdabacked Trevor Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Winston-Salem Open: Roman Safiullin vs Hugo Grenierbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Elmer Moellerbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
US Open, Qualification WTA: Dominika Salkova vs Akasha Urhobobacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$519.99
Roehampton 2: Radu Albot vs Leonardo Rossibacked Radu Albot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.99
Roehampton 2: Oliver Bonding vs Millen Hurrionbacked Millen Hurrion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.99
Augsburg: Matthew William Donald vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$205.04
Monterrey Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$990.56
Monterrey Open: Lilli Tagger vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.81
Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$439.76
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$508.03
Winston-Salem Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Darwin Blanchbacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$144
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Anna Bondar vs En-Shuo Liangbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$231
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$477.93
Augsburg: Maximilian Marterer vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Maximilian Marterer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$659Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$659.46
Showing 25 of 517 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT13258.3%77 W · 55 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 132 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,193.98
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,024Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$711.52
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,922Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,922.4
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,849.99
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,563Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$937
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.99
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.52
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$330
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,840Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$660
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,095Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$809.18
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$570
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,610Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$889.98
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$752Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$752.38
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$570
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$690.05
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$754
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$645
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$689Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$688.98
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$899Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$489.76
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$520
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$797Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$611.26
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$367.94
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.38
Showing 25 of 132 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Mystics vs. Portland Firebacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$888
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.99
Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.66
Spread: Portland Fire (-3.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,034.97
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.11
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$416.52
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.67
Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$94.9
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$734.99
Spread: Washington Mystics (-13.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$669.98
Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Skybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$164
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$482.98
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.99
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.79
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-5.5)backed Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$447.99
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$408
Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+470.7%+$649.66
Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+284.4%+$282.09
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Skybacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$37.5
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.29
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.38
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$100.5
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$631Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$169
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$185
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$270
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$65.1
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$201
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.8
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$168
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$63
All 5 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.