TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,384,637
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,005,682

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,384,637 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 4,652 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes49c1,080,224$530,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549,971.322,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes47c1,000,000$472,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527,5009142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cb4…1057backed Yes48c1,000,000$480,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520,0002147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No53c999,999$529,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529,999.442552%13 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+140%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed No52c991,157$515,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515,401.623345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c6a…0f47backed Yes48c900,000$432,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468,0001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No52c567,734$296,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296,026.274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked No52c506,345$263,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263,299.4315456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Yes47c343,521$162,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181,232.5577152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes77c322,810$248,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,031.274,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2dd…4a23backed Yes47c300,000$141,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158,999.861637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed No52c299,997$155,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155,998.5916546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked No53c232,164$123,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123,047.14862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked No53c229,998$121,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,199.026627.3%18 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfb6…06dabacked Yes47c203,999$95,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,159.223759.5%22 W · 15 L+6.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+32.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No51c172,675$88,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88,710.452,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No52c171,201$88,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88,327.3214139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No52c162,479$84,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84,489.047941.8%33 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No52c160,315$83,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,363.5720844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b21…a230backed Yes50c154,000$76,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,139.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No52c150,000$78,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,00016331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86d2…731dbacked No53c143,836$76,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,233.127343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No52c126,574$65,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,485.8256541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No52c122,097$63,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,406.4129952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes55c112,249$61,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,685.258,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No53c105,782$55,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,599.5642541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes47c105,042$49,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,278.991,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c3…600fbacked No64c102,170$64,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,9474148.8%20 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes47c100,075$47,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,816.022,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4761…5ae8backed No52c99,899$51,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,947.483040%12 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked No53c89,886$47,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,639.587851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes53c80,006$42,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,791.481,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Yes48c80,000$38,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,60017949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e05…7720backed No52c73,453$38,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,195.612343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes47c73,111$34,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,748.721343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes47c71,079$33,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,585.3138734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…996cbacked Yes49c69,796$34,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,795.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+56.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No52c69,499$36,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,139.449943.4%43 W · 56 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed No53c66,666$35,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,332.7911647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes50c64,755$32,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,378.435839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes47c63,830$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,829.7917840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked No53c60,000$31,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,5005263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x987b…df43backed Yes48c60,000$28,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,2002360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Yes47c59,999$28,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,799.643237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked No54c55,556$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0001040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No33c54,242$17,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,769.122,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a66…dcc2backed Yes48c52,083$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,083.337244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Yes48c50,100$24,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,05223942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed No53c50,000$26,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,5008349.4%41 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed No53c50,000$26,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,499.947839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes38c48,407$18,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,098.9818047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes44c43,604$19,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,530.9551228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9912…5d4abacked Yes47c42,553$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,553.193063.3%19 W · 11 L+6.0wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No52c41,200$21,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,423.986149.2%30 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No20c40,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,799.9927039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Yes47c40,000$18,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,199.9614232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked No53c40,000$21,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,199.857050%35 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No24c39,985$9,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,701.2113533.3%45 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No52c37,922$19,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,676.711,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed No52c37,235$19,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,362.381060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No52c35,294$18,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,303.8450243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes41c35,196$14,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,933.081,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8944…41d5backed No52c35,000$18,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,199.982740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes47c33,885$15,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,959.0517452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd471…edf8backed No52c32,099$16,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,691.476645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes48c31,882$15,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,623.896749.3%33 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes44c30,000$13,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,9009642.7%41 W · 55 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No52c29,497$15,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,311.4747643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No52c28,106$14,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,729.4430751.1%157 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked No54c27,799$14,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,968.0614843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No52c27,222$14,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,155.4321836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No55c26,866$14,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,851.9836939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No52c26,720$13,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,894.395244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed No52c26,396$13,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,726.1419345.1%87 W · 106 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No52c25,104$13,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,056.5347144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No64c25,000$16,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,999.7853448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked No53c24,797$13,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,245.3814250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No52c23,510$12,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,191.6148441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No52c23,000$11,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,96019252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No51c22,971$11,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,743.0514551%74 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No52c22,660$11,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,783.22835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf6d…9f2abacked No51c22,471$11,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,525.436536.9%24 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes47c22,000$10,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,66059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No52c21,101$10,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,972.7616835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No50c21,000$10,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,479.987038.6%27 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Yes48c20,986$10,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,958.0213036.2%47 W · 83 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Yes48c20,833$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,833.3310457.7%60 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked Yes48c20,833$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,833.338944.9%40 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Yes49c20,514$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,514.469549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed No52c20,377$10,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,636.95543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed No52c20,209$10,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,511.758435.7%30 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked No52c20,019$10,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,410.12343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked No52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,4001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,399.992714.8%4 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-73.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes55c19,918$11,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,888.3279231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked No52c19,820$10,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,306.326448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eaf…a3a1backed No53c19,353$10,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,257.253930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Yes60c19,333$11,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,646.421942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed No52c18,888$9,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,821.687545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1c…9867backed No53c18,868$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0007753.2%41 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.