TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tampa Bay Raysof New York Yankees, Tampa Bay Rays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$285,707
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$289,005

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,707 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed New York Yankees35c40,000$14,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,049.9348952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc1…b33cbacked New York Yankees49c38,462$18,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,846.1526056.9%148 W · 112 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays54c33,406$17,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,495.5110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed New York Yankees48c19,524$9,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,337.798149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays52c14,956$7,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,178.771,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Tampa Bay Rays52c11,352$5,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,44928350.9%144 W · 139 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees44c9,488$4,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,211.682,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Tampa Bay Rays53c9,309$4,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,379.0223255.6%129 W · 103 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees47c6,281$2,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,931.925,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays72c5,965$4,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.4411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b44…3992backed New York Yankees49c4,808$2,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,355.7615659%92 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked New York Yankees1c4,600$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.58762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5674…2ff4backed New York Yankees49c3,846$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.712759.8%76 W · 51 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Tampa Bay Rays53c3,783$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.3718658.6%109 W · 77 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Yankees46c3,469$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.741,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked New York Yankees48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.0375248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked Tampa Bay Rays53c2,891$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.7719951.8%103 W · 96 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4861…3aaebacked New York Yankees48c2,885$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.6212759.1%75 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Tampa Bay Rays53c2,742$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.896844.1%30 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Tampa Bay Rays52c2,687$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.7389153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Tampa Bay Rays53c2,593$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.5248147%226 W · 255 L-31.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed New York Yankees43c2,467$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.5379442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed New York Yankees1c2,441$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.225852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays53c2,013$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.063,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Tampa Bay Rays52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9605435.2%19 W · 35 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Tampa Bay Rays58c1,975$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.5219453.6%104 W · 90 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees47c1,825$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.416,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays53c1,780$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.655653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Tampa Bay Rays52c1,748$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.071,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Tampa Bay Rays53c1,515$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.0544953.7%241 W · 208 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Tampa Bay Rays53c1,474$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.5822948.9%112 W · 117 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Tampa Bay Rays57c1,412$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.281,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays52c1,407$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.811,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed New York Yankees42c1,333$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.16653%35 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Yankees47c1,309$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.782,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed New York Yankees48c1,305$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.5351545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed New York Yankees49c1,153$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.9717752.5%93 W · 84 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed New York Yankees24c1,102$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.7395045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed New York Yankees6c1,065$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6921146.4%98 W · 113 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f8d…6790backed Tampa Bay Rays76c1,061$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.442365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays54c1,015$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.324,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed New York Yankees29c1,000$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29212451.6%64 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed New York Yankees46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46024651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed New York Yankees29c999.83$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.521,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa689…15fcbacked New York Yankees45c956.95$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.6324346.9%114 W · 129 L-1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed New York Yankees28c952.96$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.5192046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays54c893.86$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.418,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8201…8a41backed New York Yankees45c888.89$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004247.6%20 W · 22 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-27.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked New York Yankees38c886.08$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.526545.7%121 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Yankees24c847$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.644,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed New York Yankees48c780$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.51,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Tampa Bay Rays55c757.58$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.9129449.7%146 W · 148 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays54c635.72$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.434,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Tampa Bay Rays53c622.64$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.6494549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0e6…7358backed New York Yankees16c600$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966553.8%35 W · 30 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked New York Yankees3c553.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.913649.3%67 W · 69 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+68.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x84a3…44dcbacked New York Yankees48c536.25$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.410344.7%46 W · 57 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b4…14c0backed New York Yankees19c528.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Tampa Bay Rays53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23527552.4%144 W · 131 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed New York Yankees47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3050…1a35backed New York Yankees42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2107154.9%39 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees20c496.51$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.788,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb92…b221backed Tampa Bay Rays54c462$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.5237944.3%168 W · 211 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Tampa Bay Rays53c405.64$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.658943.8%39 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed New York Yankees19c362.42$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.862334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-45%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed New York Yankees3c360.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.122,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Tampa Bay Rays52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14458652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Tampa Bay Rays51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1471,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked New York Yankees47c295$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6557758.1%335 W · 242 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Tampa Bay Rays46c293.32$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3921841.3%90 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc92c…6f15backed Tampa Bay Rays54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7827357.1%156 W · 117 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked New York Yankees17c273.47$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1212024.2%29 W · 91 L-11.8wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-40.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Tampa Bay Rays53c262.26$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2621853.2%116 W · 102 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x898c…b48fbacked Tampa Bay Rays58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.62757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed New York Yankees45c235.56$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061520%3 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-56.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Tampa Bay Rays53c226.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4281257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed New York Yankees43c223.56$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1321033.3%70 W · 140 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Tampa Bay Rays62c214.29$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.771,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked New York Yankees49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87c7…d1b6backed Tampa Bay Rays55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9020455.4%113 W · 91 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Tampa Bay Rays53c194.34$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.341,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c4…e285backed Tampa Bay Rays56c189.29$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.296564.6%42 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x952d…ab8abacked New York Yankees49c189.18$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.72433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Tampa Bay Rays53c189$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.831,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed New York Yankees18c188.88$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8152955.6%294 W · 235 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd614…0fc0backed Tampa Bay Rays53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd335…fe54backed Tampa Bay Rays53c187.15$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.967957%45 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Tampa Bay Rays52c187$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.768856.8%50 W · 38 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7693…470fbacked Tampa Bay Rays54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1921354.5%116 W · 97 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Tampa Bay Rays55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8222153.4%118 W · 103 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc02d…92c1backed Tampa Bay Rays55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays69c181$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.724,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd7…1c4fbacked Tampa Bay Rays53c159.08$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.778058.8%47 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Tampa Bay Rays71c151.49$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7169447.6%330 W · 364 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed New York Yankees20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3554945.4%249 W · 300 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5a…9d75backed New York Yankees14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010515.2%16 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked Tampa Bay Rays68c142$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4435668.8%245 W · 111 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed New York Yankees29c141.59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5854715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked New York Yankees47c140$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.81,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7be8…0f50backed New York Yankees49c139.02$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.122347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.