MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81bcb06611bc29d8fa5987ac0e606fb6103190db7d411cbbd449e8cb95d72748
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $249,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 54c | 214,793$115,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,804.85 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 46c | 150,168$69,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,075.58 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…9a1fbacked Over | 46c | 28,373$13,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,051.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Over | 46c | 27,063$12,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,448.97 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 53c | 15,015$7,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,097.48 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Over | 47c | 6,928$3,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,256.17 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 46c | 5,723$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.92 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 4,096$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.36 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Over | 46c | 3,636$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.41 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Under | 54c | 2,216$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.39 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 2,123$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.35 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 53c | 1,555$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.81 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 46c | 1,132$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.66 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 46c | 1,112$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.52 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 46c | 1,088$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.48 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 48c | 1,055$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.57 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 51c | 975.76$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.12 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 616$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.52 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 609$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.04 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 47c | 594.62$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.47 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 54c | 585$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.1 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 54c | 579.99$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.8 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 54c | 555.37$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.69 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 489.28$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.96 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 54c | 443$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.78 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Under | 55c | 410.44$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.31 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 26c | 302.51$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 54c | 205.09$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.34 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 183.62$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.13 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 46c | 182.34$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 47c | 178$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 38c | 149$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 53c | 141.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.73 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Under | 72c | 138$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Over | 47c | 125$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 46c | 112$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2c…f9f2backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…92d2backed Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 48c | 99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Over | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 86.38$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 48c | 81.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 67.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 48c | 66.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 37c | 65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 47c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 50c | 57.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x887f…7289backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 49c | 42.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Over | 46c | 40.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Over | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…1ab5backed Over | 46c | 27.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…826ebacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 69c | 26.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Over | 46c | 25.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 49c | 24.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 3.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.