TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Englandof Norway, England
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,545,833
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,703,936

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,545,833 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 8,571 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Norway35c2,281,914$804,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804,009.082,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b4…7320backed England66c1,422,021$934,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487,5401758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed England65c799,997$522,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276,998.7915552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Norway33c657,677$214,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214,464.6477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed England65c562,288$362,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199,612.1220955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6a6…9458backed England63c554,616$351,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202,831.624753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa235…34bbbacked Norway35c499,998$176,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176,249.282524%6 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7583…4df2backed England59c498,851$292,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206,021.222040%8 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Norway40c474,678$189,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189,960.491,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked England65c331,561$213,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117,695.3342345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45c3…59bfbacked England66c314,221$207,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,203.581154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e25…d49ebacked England65c308,535$199,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109,530.053360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf67…fe3dbacked England68c308,300$208,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,177.26683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed England68c304,128$206,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97,174.015451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked England68c300,000$204,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,749.878063.8%51 W · 29 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Norway21c299,999$63,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,999.917839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Norway33c286,982$94,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94,388.143046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Norway34c285,003$97,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,394.932,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Norway33c276,863$90,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90,500.985322.6%12 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-51.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7ac…f764backed Norway31c261,086$81,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,884.876543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc1b…9d59backed England66c250,000$165,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,999.855967.8%40 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Norway32c234,989$75,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,379.439142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Norway31c216,563$68,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,00032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20b9…4affbacked Norway35c215,728$75,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,565.564040%16 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Norway36c200,000$72,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,999.977433.8%25 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Norway11c184,219$19,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,3438932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec44…c92bbacked England62c178,102$111,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,902.088521.2%18 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Norway19c173,486$33,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,539.4723540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Norway32c173,460$56,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,308.2618738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbba…dbffbacked Norway35c173,181$61,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,046.313718.9%7 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dab…22e1backed England58c169,154$98,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,023.941533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Norway9c158,661$14,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,595.9844130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5734…a1b1backed England68c157,879$107,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,971.31540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-45%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x620d…c67fbacked Norway32c156,250$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,0001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a18…f4a9backed England65c154,440$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,440.15837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Norway15c153,720$23,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,044.6220839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Norway34c152,435$51,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,478.437924.1%19 W · 60 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed England64c151,064$97,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,814.211,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed England65c149,104$97,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,813.7836250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed England68c148,852$100,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,059.6613725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d4f…e5f3backed England68c147,697$101,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,558.421952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x088b…21ccbacked England69c145,000$100,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,9505040%20 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Norway37c143,998$52,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,778.5537223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Norway7c142,668$9,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,632.8436235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b9…2084backed England65c142,636$92,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,635.662218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-73.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Norway43c142,025$61,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,245.1512210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Norway34c136,876$46,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,067.9921836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked England63c132,535$83,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,287.961,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed England63c124,998$78,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,020.285240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Norway36c121,616$43,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,242.321,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd10…a804backed Norway50c120,497$60,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,249.022630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid+18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Norway12c114,167$14,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,111.1315844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x171b…5179backed England66c112,000$73,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,394.96238.7%24 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d36…09c5backed Norway36c106,173$38,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,50020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee96…0634backed Norway44c104,475$46,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,0001827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-50.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b4e…0232backed England65c103,009$66,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,568.23354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Norway12c98,311$11,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,746.6914542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Norway4c97,568$4,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,063.0224533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked England64c93,383$59,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,615.98856.8%50 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd133…ef27backed Norway36c88,269$31,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,724.2913842.8%59 W · 79 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Norway35c87,857$30,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,548.1840239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Norway22c86,424$19,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,030.575335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x440a…035abacked Norway42c83,333$35,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,0001414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-54.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked England74c82,368$61,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,201.821172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf020…3212backed England66c82,220$53,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,232.74540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked England64c81,830$52,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,458.6233538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed England62c80,734$49,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,745.2734964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Norway35c78,999$27,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,324.8248441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Norway35c78,393$27,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,088.5347144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7650…fac1backed England65c77,230$50,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,223.584153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed England64c74,899$48,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,709.379161.5%56 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd532…25efbacked Norway36c74,806$26,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,558.93837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f2…2523backed Norway9c73,408$6,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,259.867432.4%24 W · 50 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Norway37c71,492$26,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,779.0426320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Norway34c70,000$23,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,699.929642.7%41 W · 55 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ec…21a0backed Norway42c69,270$29,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,051.444445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked England62c68,700$42,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,015.1617852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Norway35c68,500$23,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,722.4150243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Norway35c67,417$23,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,933.26524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Norway35c67,030$23,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,175.2629952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Norway28c65,942$18,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,697.2329916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1396…62b5backed Norway36c63,000$22,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,3654540%18 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59a2…5014backed Norway32c62,500$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0001947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked England51c60,850$30,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,955.2417447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6219…aa6fbacked Norway34c60,738$20,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,746.4810057%57 W · 43 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d20…a165backed Norway36c60,304$21,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,411.512661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed England61c60,000$36,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,680.6229633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked England65c60,000$39,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,999.893259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Norway35c59,972$20,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,723.7347643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3232…18aebacked Norway35c56,210$19,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,663.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed England53c55,682$29,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,915.7613448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Norway31c55,421$17,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,408.775334%18 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Norway11c52,765$5,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,984.2130054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Norway10c52,000$5,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,444.6524526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked England65c51,012$32,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,026.6624028.8%69 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e3d…8554backed England64c50,519$32,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,029.82560%15 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed England57c50,000$28,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,62527039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x705d…0a1ebacked Norway34c50,000$16,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,8751154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Norway5c49,627$2,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,690.9625821.3%55 W · 203 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1127…c656backed England78c49,575$38,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,916.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.