TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$195,011
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,148

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,011 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2805…76edbacked Over17c74,407$12,651 inLost-$12,650.5820448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over16c65,451$10,495 inLost-$10,494.5618738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Over16c32,807$5,249 inLost-$5,249.0920333.5%68 W · 135 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over17c3,699$636 inLost-$636.441,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over18c1,234$222 inLost-$222.1222943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over16c1,000$160 inLost-$16054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over8c999.99$80 inLost-$8022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Over18c700$126 inLost-$12628822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over15c667$100 inLost-$100.0528545.3%129 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over12c607.05$73 inLost-$72.8577845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over16c593.76$95 inLost-$94.9197742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over15c542.52$79 inLost-$78.741,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa6…3ffabacked Over22c463.44$100 inLost-$1001838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over15c430$65 inLost-$64.565737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over17c361.01$62 inLost-$61.618,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over16c331.54$53 inLost-$53.243,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x216b…d9ecbacked Over14c217.93$31 inLost-$30.83911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over17c176.47$30 inLost-$3029338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Over13c174$23 inLost-$22.6232042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31c…d21cbacked Over16c168.03$27 inLost-$27.3812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-70.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f57…a4c0backed Over19c154$29 inLost-$29.021560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9646…2dcdbacked Over17c151.65$26 inLost-$25.782619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4438…f659backed Over18c147.01$27 inLost-$26.73545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over30c143.94$43 inLost-$42.9926841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over14c100$14 inLost-$141,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over16c100$16 inLost-$161,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97d9…aa9fbacked Over16c100$16 inLost-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over17c88.24$15 inLost-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91cb…105cbacked Over16c83.13$13 inLost-$13.3520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x254b…7df6backed Over41c41.26$17 inLost-$16.827755.8%43 W · 34 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over36c34.25$12 inLost-$12.3311360.2%68 W · 45 L+22.2wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+63.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xda67…0b91backed Over38c32.44$12 inLost-$12.3312147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under62c32.44$20 inWon+$12.3318543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under60c22.46$13 inWon+$8.9845145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked Under59c20.08$12 inWon+$8.2424540.4%99 W · 146 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.