TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f57…a4c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Valorant, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 56 out of 100; worst Movies at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$36.9
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ENJOY - Map 2 Winnerbacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$34
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.53
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+203%+$50.25
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.18
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.02
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$48.3
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.8
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+137.2%+$138.8
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$19.95
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$58.29
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$81.66
Norway vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.02
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$47.62
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$25.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$78.94
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.7
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.4
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$45.5
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$43.33
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Seattle Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffsbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$35.5
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+27%+$33.98
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
LoL: Blue Otter vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked Contingent Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+245.5%+$47.73
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$22.8
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$38.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.47
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$9.09
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$684
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-63.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$129
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+78.9%+$394.6
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$198.43
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$94.12
Will Infrared launch a token by December 31 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$42
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick39cpaid+89.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$64.8
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.2
Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs SwimTrek Blue (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Group Stagebacked FlyQuest RED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$24
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: Cloud9 vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$41.4
Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$83.11
All 8 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+170.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+440.2%+$101.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+163.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+87.7%+$301.03
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$533
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$41.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$162
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.