TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ENCE vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BC.Game Esportsof ENCE, BC.Game Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,070
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,980

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,070 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed BC.Game Esports67c35,391$23,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,637.961,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed ENCE34c25,765$8,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,827.8733343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed ENCE32c5,815$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.742,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked ENCE34c4,427$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.741,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed ENCE37c2,648$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.5921953.4%117 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed BC.Game Esports66c2,608$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.5825747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked ENCE19c2,217$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.5543152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ENCE31c1,870$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.025,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed ENCE26c1,417$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.6616542.4%70 W · 95 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1a8…6427backed ENCE38c1,200$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.696756.7%38 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked ENCE29c1,046$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019357%110 W · 83 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed BC.Game Esports74c999.99$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2602,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked BC.Game Esports64c965.76$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.677,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked BC.Game Esports67c946.67$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.435745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed BC.Game Esports65c923.08$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.088061.3%49 W · 31 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0e6…23c2backed ENCE27c831.28$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.215563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked ENCE42c800$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33694645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed BC.Game Esports64c722$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9213840.6%56 W · 82 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ENCE25c700.69$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.734,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed ENCE25c649.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.551252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ff…3506backed ENCE43c649.18$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2799534.7%33 W · 62 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed BC.Game Esports65c646.86$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.821949.8%109 W · 110 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed BC.Game Esports60c626.64$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.0615244.7%68 W · 84 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x223a…f30ebacked BC.Game Esports72c600$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8a…9dfcbacked ENCE28c600$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1683839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ENCE30c583.33$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa936…8ee6backed BC.Game Esports62c572.29$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.295332.1%17 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe40e…9770backed BC.Game Esports80c534.9$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9817951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked ENCE26c530.77$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13830236.8%111 W · 191 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed BC.Game Esports64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1804553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked BC.Game Esports69c473.7$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.033,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe660…2ac1backed ENCE31c468.45$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9514654.8%80 W · 66 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed BC.Game Esports69c437$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.431,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked BC.Game Esports71c406.66$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.0225042.4%106 W · 144 L+0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed BC.Game Esports69c391.58$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.897139.4%28 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67ae…2c9fbacked ENCE42c388.22$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked ENCE20c360$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7239338.2%150 W · 243 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed BC.Game Esports65c332.19$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4920353.2%108 W · 95 L+1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…e928backed BC.Game Esports61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.877758.4%45 W · 32 L+8.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+32.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x9dd9…3eb8backed ENCE28c321.15$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908461.9%52 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6c…0c16backed ENCE28c288.63$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8019035.8%68 W · 122 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed BC.Game Esports79c275.49$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.081,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed ENCE26c272.92$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9622740.5%92 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked BC.Game Esports69c251$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.171,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked ENCE25c229.78$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.691,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed ENCE36c228.78$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8861054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed BC.Game Esports71c226.61$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6525142.6%107 W · 144 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed BC.Game Esports80c218.75$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7519061.6%117 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e89…2e8ebacked ENCE47c212.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006960.9%42 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x971f…1e98backed ENCE34c210.84$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.733548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabd5…e713backed ENCE36c207.26$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.721637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed BC.Game Esports72c199.99$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.351,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked ENCE31c194.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.732,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed BC.Game Esports71c188.98$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559146.2%42 W · 49 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked ENCE29c182.01$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.043,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x499f…b72bbacked ENCE29c175.45$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8814544.8%65 W · 80 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65fa…4c6abacked ENCE29c174.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011564.3%74 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed BC.Game Esports67c173.78$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.336741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked ENCE36c166.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3220147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed ENCE31c164$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8433146.5%154 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed BC.Game Esports73c159.99$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2940558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5463…8748backed BC.Game Esports71c157.4$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.751533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-48.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcce1…49c7backed ENCE33c145.52$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9235147.9%168 W · 183 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed ENCE32c138.26$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7220046%92 W · 108 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed BC.Game Esports63c138$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5840666.3%269 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ENCE25c136.18$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.764,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed BC.Game Esports64c127.78$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4689046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed ENCE20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2536749.3%181 W · 186 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed BC.Game Esports66c124.48$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.787345.2%33 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed BC.Game Esports67c123.07$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.799044.4%40 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c09…ef60backed ENCE37c122.58$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-51.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf795…5e34backed ENCE21c119.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.57027.1%19 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed BC.Game Esports64c111.92$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2912748%61 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8818…f8acbacked ENCE42c108.68$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0216660.8%101 W · 65 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36e9…d246backed BC.Game Esports76c108.03$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0326368.8%181 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed ENCE33c107.28$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.884,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed BC.Game Esports70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3067372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked BC.Game Esports64c97.52$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.117042.9%30 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed BC.Game Esports64c97$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9251446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked ENCE33c91.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028454.9%156 W · 128 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed ENCE26c90.85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.361,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x183b…b6e9backed ENCE40c87.9$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5132054.4%174 W · 146 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x483d…a099backed ENCE35c86.9$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8326346.4%122 W · 141 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed BC.Game Esports70c72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.582,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked BC.Game Esports71c72$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2482146.3%380 W · 441 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa78e…7cbcbacked ENCE35c71.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528837.5%108 W · 180 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2212backed BC.Game Esports62c71.13$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1334547.5%164 W · 181 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked ENCE34c71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1465548.9%320 W · 335 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde0…20bfbacked ENCE24c70.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178158%47 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked BC.Game Esports69c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.982,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f57…a4c0backed ENCE37c69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.531637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked BC.Game Esports67c65.18$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.71,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d7b…f04bbacked ENCE31c63.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-51.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked BC.Game Esports61c59.18$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1814661.6%90 W · 56 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c60…1129backed ENCE34c57.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.376141%25 W · 36 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked BC.Game Esports64c54.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6914068.6%96 W · 44 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked BC.Game Esports75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.546447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc83…37efbacked ENCE31c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-49.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked BC.Game Esports76c49.27$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.872,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe2c…dd16backed ENCE31c48.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0540%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.