TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x223a…f30e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+51.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,950Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,050
Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweenybacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,776Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,776.31
ITF Edwardsville: Bruno Kuzuhara vs Vignesh Goginenibacked Bruno Kuzuhara · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.99
Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,587Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,586.57
ITF Astana: Eva Korysheva vs Edda Mamedovabacked Edda Mamedova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$106
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,183Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$460.04
San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteirobacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,683Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$591.24
ITF Pitesti: Francesco Ferrari vs Gabriel Ghetubacked Gabriel Ghetu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,861Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,860.61
ITF Edwardsville: Oliver Bonding vs Ozan Barisbacked Ozan Baris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+1,918.1%+$1,156.7
ITF Pergamino: Justina Gonzalez Daniele vs Francesca Mattiolibacked Francesca Mattioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$363.4
ITF Edwardsville: Bruno Kuzuhara vs Noah Zamorabacked Bruno Kuzuhara · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$168
ITF Gentofte: Aristotelis Thanos vs Nikola Slavicbacked Nikola Slavic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.74
ITF Gran Canaria: Nadia Podoroska vs Andrea Lazaro Garciabacked Nadia Podoroska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.9
ITF Edwardsville: Johannus Monday vs Jonah Braswellbacked Jonah Braswell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.52
ITF Pitesti: Matei Varbanciu vs Maximilian Borisovbacked Maximilian Borisov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$12.1
ITF Edwardsville: Leo Vithoontien vs Ilija Palavestrabacked Ilija Palavestra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$343.39
ITF Wetzlar: Alen Mujakic vs Vincent Maryskobacked Alen Mujakic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
ITF Gentofte: Aristotelis Thanos vs Jonathan Mridhabacked Jonathan Mridha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.6
Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Waltonbacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$622.2
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Sheltonbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$683.61
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Marcos Giron vs Cruz Hewittbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,222
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tienbacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,863Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$1,963.43
ITF Bolzano: Manuel Plunger vs Filip Jeff Planinsekbacked Manuel Plunger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,190.52
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ugo Humbert vs Andres Martinbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Bonn: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Olle Wallin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$345.6
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-58.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BetBoom Team to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.75
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,593Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,593.13
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.65
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.98
Dota 2: Midas Club vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Bbacked Midas Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Dota 2: Midas Club vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winnerbacked Midas Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.75
Team Falcons to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$638Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$638.14
Dota 2: Level UP vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Bbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$215.82
Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winnerbacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.37
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Abacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$197.14
Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winnerbacked RE.Arise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$280
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$168
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.95
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$278.34
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys - Map 1 Winnerbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.74
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.29
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$77.5
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$194.88
Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)backed QUAZAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.18
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,355Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$761.99
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 14.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$197.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Gloucestershire vs Surreybacked Gloucestershire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.6
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Derbyshire vs Glamorganbacked Glamorgan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dream Esports vs Tung Tung Bogi (BO1) - LPLOL Group Stagebacked Tung Tung Bogi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$513.78
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tobyl FK vs. FK Panevėžys: Team to Advancebacked FK Panevėžys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.01
FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: Team to Advancebacked FC Midtjylland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.