TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ugo Humbert vs Andres Martin

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ugo Humbertof Ugo Humbert, Andres Martin
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$269,721
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$384,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,721 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Andres Martin7c43,154$3,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,086.478,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Ugo Humbert80c12,980$10,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,596.017969.6%55 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Andres Martin7c10,359$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.234,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Andres Martin6c8,994$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.416,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Andres Martin6c6,003$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.094,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3783…0038backed Andres Martin7c4,464$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Andres Martin6c4,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010531.4%33 W · 72 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Andres Martin20c3,469$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.382,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Andres Martin9c2,902$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.623,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Andres Martin9c2,785$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.711,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Andres Martin20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Andres Martin11c2,459$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.4311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223a…f30ebacked Andres Martin20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+51.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Andres Martin10c1,865$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.148,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c3a…eb16backed Andres Martin22c1,551$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.327320.5%15 W · 58 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Andres Martin6c1,504$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.792,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Andres Martin7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017818%32 W · 146 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Andres Martin7c1,318$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.173,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Andres Martin8c1,275$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025633.6%86 W · 170 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Andres Martin20c1,250$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Andres Martin8c1,113$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4658021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3556…af4fbacked Andres Martin9c938.56$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4727724.9%69 W · 208 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Andres Martin6c893.41$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.91,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Andres Martin20c797.96$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.951,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Andres Martin19c740.63$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.4658232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Andres Martin8c698.25$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Andres Martin9c666.13$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9527836.7%102 W · 176 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Andres Martin20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Andres Martin8c557.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459425.5%24 W · 70 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49e0…9af1backed Ugo Humbert79c531.65$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6511566.1%76 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Andres Martin20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1152847%248 W · 280 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Andres Martin6c434.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8776355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x568f…d803backed Andres Martin8c371.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.73135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c0b…3f28backed Andres Martin20c363.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Andres Martin18c351.85$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.770537.6%265 W · 440 L-37.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Andres Martin20c350$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013435.8%48 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Andres Martin27c291.48$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.466,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Andres Martin20c276.19$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2439648%190 W · 206 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Andres Martin20c275$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5591754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Andres Martin20c225$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4512035.8%43 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Andres Martin18c222.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6423530.2%71 W · 164 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Andres Martin20c219.05$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8117147.4%81 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Ugo Humbert73c205.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.621,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Andres Martin19c205.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Andres Martin7c190$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.338911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Andres Martin18c151.96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9439135.8%140 W · 251 L-0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Andres Martin20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027139.1%106 W · 165 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Andres Martin21c149.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.963537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Andres Martin20c138.05$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6130644.1%135 W · 171 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf7b…013bbacked Ugo Humbert78c130$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.68660.5%52 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Andres Martin19c125$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.753,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Ugo Humbert72c123.62$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2322552%117 W · 108 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Ugo Humbert78c123.21$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1138550.4%194 W · 191 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x341b…e5c5backed Ugo Humbert79c122.48$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.724065%26 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198b…be1cbacked Andres Martin21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251010%1 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.39per pick49cpaid-83.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x20e1…98dbbacked Andres Martin10c112.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.217852.6%41 W · 37 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Andres Martin11c107.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.292,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Ugo Humbert74c105$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0656153.7%301 W · 260 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Andres Martin18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1893945.5%427 W · 512 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba02…7dd2backed Andres Martin20c90$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1840%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x877f…8f3bbacked Ugo Humbert73c87.16$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.534468.2%30 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Andres Martin17c86.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6497141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Andres Martin22c70$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.41,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f40…16c7backed Ugo Humbert73c67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0911163.1%70 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x312c…ceecbacked Andres Martin27c66.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.966342.9%27 W · 36 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Ugo Humbert75c63.86$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6811141.4%46 W · 65 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca3d…7e91backed Andres Martin20c61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Andres Martin21c56.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7899249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaedb…91fdbacked Ugo Humbert80c51.66$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4113853.6%74 W · 64 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17f5…f087backed Ugo Humbert79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6317757.6%102 W · 75 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71f1…ef5abacked Ugo Humbert79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.632572%18 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2e…1e57backed Andres Martin20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101428.6%4 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Andres Martin28c47.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.143,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74c8…857bbacked Ugo Humbert80c43.04$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.611681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x341d…2995backed Ugo Humbert79c37.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8831161.1%190 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Ugo Humbert79c34$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1461152.2%319 W · 292 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf3d…1a59backed Ugo Humbert79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.325253.8%28 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e32…1ca3backed Ugo Humbert79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.323754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Ugo Humbert80c16.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3727254.4%148 W · 124 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Ugo Humbert80c16.79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3627653.6%148 W · 128 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.