TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x341b…e5c5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT4065%26 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.7
Los Cabos Open: Bernard Tomic vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.29
Los Cabos Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tristan Boyerbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$128.71
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$66.87
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Trevor Svajda vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$30.28
Liberec: Hynek Barton vs Andrej Nedicbacked Hynek Barton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$62
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$199
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ugo Humbert vs Andres Martinbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$25.72
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.77
Bloomfield Hills: Alex Michelsen vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Alexander Blockx vs. Luciano Darderi: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Cruz Hewitt vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Gastonbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$28.82
Estoril Open: Jaime Faria vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$88.1
Estoril Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Alex Molcanbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$153.23
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baezbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
Estoril Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$89.86
Winnipeg: Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.13
Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.6
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Facundo Acostabacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$48.94
Generali Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$42.18
Generali Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.55
Generali Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Raphael Collignonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.64
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
La Velada del Año 6 Edu Aguirre vs Gastón Edulbacked Aguirre · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$25.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$989.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.