Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aaa1f4cd259b6279e2f8c6da298b43d464fda2fd274973c770af7cc3065e59d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lorenzo Musettiof Matteo Arnaldi, Lorenzo Musetti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $382,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $436,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $382,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Matteo Arnaldi | 13c | 54,982$6,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,939.45 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef53…4591backed Matteo Arnaldi | 10c | 22,013$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Lorenzo Musetti | 62c | 21,051$13,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,041.48 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187a…a22bbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 64c | 20,145$12,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,252.19 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 14,679$6,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,078.9 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Matteo Arnaldi | 21c | 10,400$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.99 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Matteo Arnaldi | 18c | 8,900$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.66 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Lorenzo Musetti | 71c | 8,498$6,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Lorenzo Musetti | 79c | 8,326$6,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.1 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 8,020$3,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,052.61 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772f…8145backed Lorenzo Musetti | 79c | 7,931$6,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.06 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Matteo Arnaldi | 1c | 6,294$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 6,118$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.71 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Lorenzo Musetti | 59c | 5,386$3,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.22 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Matteo Arnaldi | 11c | 5,336$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 374 | 50%187 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 79c | 4,972$3,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.34 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 4,880$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.8 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 13c | 4,598$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.05 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 4,447$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.57 | 330 | 37.3%123 W · 207 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 4,241$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.72 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Lorenzo Musetti | 59c | 3,912$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.94 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90af…b6cfbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 59c | 3,300$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.73 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Matteo Arnaldi | 10c | 2,858$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lorenzo Musetti | 59c | 2,594$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.38 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 39c | 2,234$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.08 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…36ddbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 61c | 2,049$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.18 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x186c…1d32backed Matteo Arnaldi | 8c | 2,000$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 60c | 1,956$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.6 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 58c | 1,864$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.88 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Matteo Arnaldi | 13c | 1,861$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.31 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Matteo Arnaldi | 10c | 1,700$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6729…f17dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 14c | 1,680$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…0038backed Matteo Arnaldi | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Lorenzo Musetti | 76c | 1,447$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.55 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lorenzo Musetti | 70c | 1,419$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.72 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 1,323$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.48 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af8…adc5backed Matteo Arnaldi | 22c | 1,300$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…caf0backed Lorenzo Musetti | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 104 | 70.2%73 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 1,228$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.05 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Matteo Arnaldi | 18c | 1,184$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.72 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Matteo Arnaldi | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 1,070$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.41 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Matteo Arnaldi | 27c | 1,060$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.88 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c62…7357backed Matteo Arnaldi | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cb…585cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 999.95$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Matteo Arnaldi | 30c | 947.25$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.69 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 881.52$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.01 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Lorenzo Musetti | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 175 | 56.6%99 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Lorenzo Musetti | 59c | 847.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.44 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 28c | 769.98$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.19 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…2e6bbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 60c | 763.62$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.45 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 739.9$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.62 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1e…6f67backed Matteo Arnaldi | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 25cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 10c | 711.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 687.28$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.91 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6528…2dcebacked Lorenzo Musetti | 73c | 678.19$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.11 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Lorenzo Musetti | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 655.41$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.72 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e4…68bebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 10c | 619$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Matteo Arnaldi | 13c | 617.62$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Matteo Arnaldi | 19c | 617.29$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d0…2a3abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 4c | 600$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 164 | 37.8%62 W · 102 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Matteo Arnaldi | 39c | 599.99$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.58 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 61c | 570.66$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.34 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9327…e1a5backed Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 560.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matteo Arnaldi | 22c | 531.89$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.09 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Lorenzo Musetti | 72c | 500$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 345 | 55.1%190 W · 155 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 12c | 496.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 218 | 42.2%92 W · 126 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 495$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Lorenzo Musetti | 60c | 495$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 494 | 47.2%233 W · 261 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 472.2$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.6 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162d…8944backed Matteo Arnaldi | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 439.97$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 124 | 44.4%55 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 438.1$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Lorenzo Musetti | 60c | 420.48$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.19 | 236 | 70.8%167 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eaa…80dbbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 60c | 420.06$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.06 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…acbabacked Lorenzo Musetti | 60c | 380$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 257 | 64.6%166 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Lorenzo Musetti | 60c | 366.73$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.69 | 289 | 47.8%138 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…f4aabacked Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 368 | 48.4%178 W · 190 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 363.27$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.94 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…0d3bbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 60c | 362.2$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Lorenzo Musetti | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 294.88$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Matteo Arnaldi | 39c | 291.8$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.94 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Matteo Arnaldi | 11c | 288.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…60f0backed Lorenzo Musetti | 77c | 254.14$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 281 | 47.3%133 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Lorenzo Musetti | 60c | 247.5$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Lorenzo Musetti | 59c | 240.33$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.53 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…0a8cbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 61c | 237.7$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 464 | 40.5%188 W · 276 L | -36.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Lorenzo Musetti | 64c | 235.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 235.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.15 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…0dabbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 62c | 234.12$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 230$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musettithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Arnaldi vs MusettiMusetti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.