TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6729…f17d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT5038%19 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Maya Joint vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,512Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,511.95
National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,160
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,072Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$1,728
National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
National Bank Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,654Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,696.5
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,204Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,203.6
National Bank Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Ben Sheltonbacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$697.5
National Bank Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$754.68
National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublevbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,773Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+111.1%+$4,191.2
Canadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxlbacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$919.99
National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguetbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.79
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,538Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,162
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.88
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,296Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$324
The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Elvina Kalievabacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$684.4
Canadian Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Tomas Barriosbacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$526.05
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$431.2
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,985Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,984.5
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,635Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,635
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Sheltonbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.2
The Memphis Classic: Katie Volynets vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.74
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.2
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Ekaterina Yashina vs Mona Barthelbacked Ekaterina Yashina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,634Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,633.5
Pozoblanco: Tiago Pereira vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Tiago Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,026.16
Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$770.27
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,438Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+122.1%+$2,977.35
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$698Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,552.5
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,442Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$3,108
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,283Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,282.94
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$942Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$942.08
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,581Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,581
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,458Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,458
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,920Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,080
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,349Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$550.99
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,346Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,579.5
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,508.3
LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10
Team Spirit to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+211.7%+$452.62
Team Liquid to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$688Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+154.5%+$1,062.69
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+28.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,294.2
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$98.58
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$94.25
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,308Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$2,091.77
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$7,553Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$4,797.11
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,994Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,994.39
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$2,092.1
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$6,562Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$3,428.25
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,602Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$723.19
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$8,053Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$2,805.15
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,003Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$1,946.41
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$9,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,075
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,376Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$6,844.2
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+80.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.