TailMyPicks
Market

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$856,680
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$968,374

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $856,680 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed BetBoom Team53c132,972$70,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,0001,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed BetBoom Team50c101,987$50,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,974.0712159.5%72 W · 49 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Team Falcons53c45,878$24,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,606.8512259.8%73 W · 49 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Team Falcons50c40,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,00047646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d20…a165backed BetBoom Team40c30,000$11,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,992.999733%32 W · 65 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Falcons40c29,294$11,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,599.7489741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x258c…7c23backed Team Falcons46c23,920$11,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,916.793943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed BetBoom Team54c22,222$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,999.6915951.6%82 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed BetBoom Team52c22,050$11,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,431.2871143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed Team Falcons48c20,084$9,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,513.512348%59 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…6b9dbacked BetBoom Team10c15,967$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.049339.8%37 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f3c…0cf1backed Team Falcons49c15,700$7,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,049.76771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Team Falcons49c15,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,599.9910045%45 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons50c13,716$6,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,8581,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked BetBoom Team51c13,310$6,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,742.2653451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons52c13,100$6,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,352.680256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2929…1dd0backed BetBoom Team44c11,464$5,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,043.1316553.3%88 W · 77 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Falcons77c11,400$8,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,622.5628251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed Team Falcons47c10,580$4,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,658.530452.3%159 W · 145 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b1f…d6d5backed Team Falcons48c10,326$4,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,379.677955.7%44 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Team Falcons49c10,150$4,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,178.529042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked BetBoom Team1c10,088$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5576048.6%369 W · 391 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Team Falcons46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40026540.8%108 W · 157 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons46c9,589$4,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,213.9788539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked BetBoom Team58c9,131$5,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,319.7641242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a56…10f5backed Team Falcons61c8,420$5,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,300.3218950.8%96 W · 93 L+10.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcdc…4281backed Team Falcons49c8,200$4,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,181.991764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+29.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons48c7,939$3,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,167.481,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab6a…2978backed Team Falcons46c7,900$3,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,265.992646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad42…6031backed BetBoom Team46c7,610$3,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,497.218648.8%42 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59f…0d08backed BetBoom Team49c7,502$3,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,650.6121155.5%117 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56a6…e5aebacked Team Falcons46c6,825$3,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,685.53164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+58.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed BetBoom Team16c6,667$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.1993546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons48c6,505$3,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,411.2450347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed Team Falcons64c6,444$4,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,316.498143.2%35 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked BetBoom Team59c6,191$3,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,625.041,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb496…1f45backed Team Falcons49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0602259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+65.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a77…e59dbacked BetBoom Team46c5,965$2,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,742.7422031.8%70 W · 150 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea58…0308backed Team Falcons61c5,750$3,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,268.93641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Team Falcons48c5,460$2,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,864.5625446.1%117 W · 137 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Falcons46c5,426$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,930.0411547%54 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed BetBoom Team52c5,356$2,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,785.37714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-78.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed BetBoom Team31c5,224$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.5396557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb69…cfd1backed BetBoom Team41c5,089$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10030356.4%171 W · 132 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23cb…80d0backed Team Falcons65c5,038$3,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,787.2522853.1%121 W · 107 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Team Falcons48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,600.1813960.4%84 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed Team Falcons54c4,900$2,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,257.9914943.6%65 W · 84 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed Team Falcons49c4,890$2,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,492.785145.1%23 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Falcons48c4,749$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,469.5523435.9%84 W · 150 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BetBoom Team49c4,528$2,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.081,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked BetBoom Team54c4,500$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,43016746.1%77 W · 90 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BetBoom Team56c4,448$2,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,483.671,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed BetBoom Team56c4,325$2,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,440.741,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked BetBoom Team6c4,274$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.1616232.7%53 W · 109 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-29.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked BetBoom Team6c4,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24014515.2%22 W · 123 L-16.5wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Team Falcons46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16056542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed BetBoom Team53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.9934860.1%209 W · 139 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24fe…4f8abacked Team Falcons50c3,836$1,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.971650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2eea…1a4cbacked Team Falcons59c3,758$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.4712858.6%75 W · 53 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed BetBoom Team47c3,681$1,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.0572035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons50c3,507$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.751,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Team Falcons63c3,261$2,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.1841056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked BetBoom Team50c3,099$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.939343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Falcons58c3,087$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.4450850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed Team Falcons46c3,040$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.62356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd12d…f0dbbacked BetBoom Team46c3,040$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.1214956.4%84 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Team Falcons50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50031547.6%150 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6729…f17dbacked Team Falcons46c2,925$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Team Falcons50c2,670$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.5361456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Team Falcons64c2,634$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.8347748.6%232 W · 245 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x177e…c244backed BetBoom Team31c2,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78029546.1%136 W · 159 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b5…54c4backed Team Falcons45c2,494$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.0529240.8%119 W · 173 L+0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Team Falcons78c2,489$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.6292056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Team Falcons49c2,390$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.1931936.7%117 W · 202 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdc0…e6a6backed BetBoom Team41c2,235$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9071020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-65.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed BetBoom Team41c2,166$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.0569132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Falcons48c2,081$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.7520642.7%88 W · 118 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Team Falcons49c2,054$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.6847650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons49c2,052$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.3260349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed Team Falcons44c2,000$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11657449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked BetBoom Team31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62069835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Falcons47c1,950$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.595342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed Team Falcons59c1,900$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77353758.8%316 W · 221 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Team Falcons46c1,880$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.1917047.1%80 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked BetBoom Team50c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90016641%68 W · 98 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed BetBoom Team49c1,800$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89028044.3%124 W · 156 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bcc…b4fabacked Team Falcons62c1,789$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.4516959.2%100 W · 69 L+14.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed BetBoom Team51c1,739$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.179959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Team Falcons60c1,656$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.7414258.5%83 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team Falcons62c1,600$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.517965.4%117 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Team Falcons52c1,588$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.8737745.4%171 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed BetBoom Team52c1,563$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.8836343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked BetBoom Team31c1,528$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.6379859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08b8…e7dabacked Team Falcons50c1,514$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.7531055.2%171 W · 139 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed BetBoom Team54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8101,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Team Falcons47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79558744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons70c1,500$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.7461057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Team Falcons49c1,485$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.3515050%75 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfbe…dc24backed Team Falcons46c1,444$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.767350.7%37 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked BetBoom Team38c1,439$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.0189938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.