TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$773,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$884,488

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $773,595 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 429 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed BetBoom Team52c135,554$70,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,349.231,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fff…265cbacked BetBoom Team43c59,972$25,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,829.53234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Team Falcons48c40,000$19,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,810.3447646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked BetBoom Team38c35,442$13,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,529.2150347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe59f…0d08backed Team Falcons58c32,947$19,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,770.4421155.5%117 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Team Falcons45c27,695$12,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,211.4410540%42 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons58c27,297$15,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,524.6371143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Falcons51c25,857$13,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,640.389741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed BetBoom Team51c20,000$10,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,299.9712348%59 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f3c…0cf1backed Team Falcons49c19,578$9,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,068.12771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Team Falcons49c19,186$9,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,853.0913960.4%84 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed BetBoom Team57c18,827$10,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,651.2215951.6%82 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons50c15,679$7,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,793.61,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons50c12,500$6,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,273.4980256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x258c…7c23backed BetBoom Team47c12,000$5,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6403943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcdc…4281backed Team Falcons44c11,563$5,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,424.661764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+29.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked BetBoom Team53c10,727$5,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,66253451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed BetBoom Team20c10,022$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,006.1633453%177 W · 157 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked BetBoom Team55c9,275$5,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,101.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked BetBoom Team44c9,033$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00039343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed Team Falcons53c8,000$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,76030452.3%159 W · 145 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed BetBoom Team51c8,000$4,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,093.1911953.8%64 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23cb…80d0backed Team Falcons71c7,313$5,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.7322853.1%121 W · 107 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons68c7,140$4,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,295.431,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad42…6031backed Team Falcons51c6,935$3,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,363.738648.8%42 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Team Falcons45c6,371$2,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,504.059736.1%35 W · 62 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a56…10f5backed Team Falcons74c6,020$4,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.5418950.8%96 W · 93 L+10.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea58…0308backed BetBoom Team35c6,010$2,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,089.423641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb496…1f45backed Team Falcons52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.982259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+65.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed BetBoom Team56c5,986$3,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,370.5241056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed BetBoom Team56c5,746$3,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,216.5618351.9%95 W · 88 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons45c5,657$2,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,117.2777941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons49c5,642$2,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,854.451,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ff1…2dd7backed Team Falcons56c5,600$3,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,447.33348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2929…1dd0backed Team Falcons63c5,350$3,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.2216553.3%88 W · 77 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Team Falcons45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,749.9725446.1%117 W · 137 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c01…e7d0backed Team Falcons40c4,631$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,778.8212350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a9…e35abacked Team Falcons47c4,577$2,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,440.543351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed BetBoom Team56c4,496$2,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,517.985149%25 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Falcons78c4,000$3,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.941242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Team Falcons62c3,724$2,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.1592056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons51c3,662$1,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.896557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons61c3,634$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.251,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eea…1a4cbacked BetBoom Team33c3,383$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.6912858.6%75 W · 53 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons44c3,257$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830.9888539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc746…3943backed Team Falcons79c3,250$2,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.736440.6%26 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed Team Falcons52c3,097$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.789852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5952…8a5ebacked Team Falcons43c3,024$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.689643.8%42 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69b1…2687backed Team Falcons44c3,010$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.61650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed BetBoom Team49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4702356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x948a…d1a4backed Team Falcons53c2,810$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.9324255%133 W · 109 L+14.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team45c2,771$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.322,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed BetBoom Team49c2,698$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.1269644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb18c…694fbacked Team Falcons76c2,650$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.354057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Team Falcons44c2,548$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.110040%40 W · 60 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons51c2,500$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.341,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x177e…c244backed BetBoom Team44c2,500$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10529546.1%136 W · 159 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Falcons72c2,459$1,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.5553764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed BetBoom Team2c2,312$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.993323%10 W · 322 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26c6…b937backed Team Falcons48c2,226$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.942560%15 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+66.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4ebe…5e6fbacked BetBoom Team52c2,200$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.3125752.1%134 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Team Falcons47c2,200$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16616746.1%77 W · 90 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Team Falcons50c2,156$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.3761456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Team Falcons48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.3314258.5%83 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e0…9970backed BetBoom Team55c2,046$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.321838.9%7 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick61cpaid-42%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed BetBoom Team47c2,038$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.8614943.6%65 W · 84 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked BetBoom Team19c2,036$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.3616232.7%53 W · 109 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-29.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbda…d2c0backed BetBoom Team50c2,033$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.4110870.4%76 W · 32 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed Team Falcons50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Team Falcons79c1,992$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.1912259.8%73 W · 49 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons58c1,972$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.891,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed BetBoom Team42c1,959$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.247748.6%232 W · 245 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b1f…d6d5backed BetBoom Team54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007955.7%44 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked BetBoom Team46c1,805$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.4750850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Falcons75c1,800$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44279859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3bc…5bd2backed BetBoom Team58c1,732$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013943.9%61 W · 78 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Team Falcons49c1,699$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.0950749.7%252 W · 255 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons57c1,692$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.5268649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked BetBoom Team52c1,680$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.617047.1%80 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3de…6fe8backed Team Falcons75c1,640$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.1110075%75 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7eb…eef7backed Team Falcons76c1,632$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.733943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Falcons57c1,594$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.3520642.7%88 W · 118 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Team Falcons54c1,583$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.6391553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfbe…dc24backed BetBoom Team50c1,533$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.57350.7%37 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08b8…e7dabacked Team Falcons48c1,506$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.9931055.2%171 W · 139 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Team Falcons44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84018830.9%58 W · 130 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Team Falcons45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.9958744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd12d…f0dbbacked BetBoom Team54c1,488$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80014956.4%84 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked BetBoom Team48c1,462$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.9395342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc0…e6a6backed Team Falcons48c1,454$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.191020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-65.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Falcons65c1,448$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.9577458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa0e6…23c2backed BetBoom Team55c1,430$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.491020%2 W · 8 L-4.8wins-0.48per pick68cpaid-72.4%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x7d8a…f907backed Team Falcons43c1,427$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.6214136.9%52 W · 89 L-13.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed BetBoom Team33c1,425$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.0436343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Team Falcons60c1,400$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56734442.2%145 W · 199 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed Team Falcons51c1,400$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.9957449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2931…7b81backed Team Falcons71c1,376$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.7718660.8%113 W · 73 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed BetBoom Team53c1,375$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.0225266.3%167 W · 85 L+20.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb69…cfd1backed BetBoom Team51c1,373$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70030356.4%171 W · 132 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5045…914abacked Team Falcons44c1,290$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.574537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.