TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,395,483
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,014,242

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,395,483 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,857 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8042…3680backed Yes34c2,435,895$831,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831,365.79560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+81.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No67c704,568$475,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229,217.1274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No66c501,713$330,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171,500.814,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed No66c402,945$266,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136,288.8817452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked No66c350,703$232,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118,591.47447.3%35 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Yes33c337,254$112,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,585.3515552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed Yes35c300,000$103,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103,5002729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes35c280,000$98,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98,297.5613742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No56c156,132$87,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,549.991,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No66c153,181$100,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,323.9342541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c4…18e7backed No68c151,971$102,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,360.0413037.7%49 W · 81 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed No66c150,943$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,943.3710836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No59c144,160$84,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,466.6436939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ddd…c933backed No67c134,998$89,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,224.332176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No66c115,000$75,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,674.9922139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No66c101,500$66,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,017.54858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked No62c100,000$62,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,784.4438734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes10c98,609$9,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,424.1617840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes34c75,000$25,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,726.5527039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No65c74,300$48,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,648.1829740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No66c70,000$46,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,8507859%46 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No66c70,000$46,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,80017842.7%76 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed No65c69,600$45,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,084.58440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Yes37c68,874$25,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,265.626447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7583…4df2backed Yes34c65,000$21,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,7752040%8 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes34c63,538$21,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,452.322,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No69c61,370$42,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,974.9924441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No66c61,350$40,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,058.7421444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes33c59,350$19,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,598.938,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes31c58,401$18,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,165.1779231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c5…6930backed No65c58,000$37,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,082.56053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No67c55,938$37,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,408.333,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes11c55,324$6,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,119.142544%11 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb37…ba6bbacked Yes33c55,022$18,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,432.262240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d9d…3c52backed No68c54,400$36,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,408.031952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No66c52,290$34,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,902.381,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f90…21fabacked No66c52,006$34,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,942.14057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes26c51,201$13,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,277.3775729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed No67c50,000$33,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,749.9522348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9340…ae1dbacked Yes28c45,093$12,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,738.777416.2%12 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e25…d49ebacked Yes34c45,000$15,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,3003360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked No67c45,000$30,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,962.434252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2511…b649backed Yes44c43,369$19,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,200837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+57.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No67c43,031$28,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,189.123,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No61c42,501$26,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,437.53,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No69c41,668$28,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,928.281,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3608…b13dbacked Yes33c40,455$13,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,3503036.7%11 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+46.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes35c40,000$13,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,949.9916647%78 W · 88 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ea2…e8e5backed Yes33c39,890$13,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,324.722119%4 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick12cpaid-26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes36c37,191$13,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,313.5531945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes1c30,005$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.671468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Yes33c30,000$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,90025844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes11c30,000$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,290.2413725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed No67c30,000$20,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,9756159%36 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Yes34c29,851$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000.099846.9%46 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38ce…1581backed No66c29,000$18,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0055234.6%18 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x969a…59ddbacked No66c29,000$18,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0059247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed No67c28,000$18,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,34511552.2%60 W · 55 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed No67c27,526$18,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,206.7524950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Yes33c27,000$8,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,977.368139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No68c26,715$18,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,560.8445039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Yes34c25,803$8,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,643.952425%6 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid+37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No66c25,100$16,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,533.9613235.6%47 W · 85 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No66c24,600$16,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,455.447269.4%50 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4810…289abacked Yes36c24,480$8,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,691.284151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked No67c24,470$16,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,084.0233549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed No65c24,006$15,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,402.198046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes34c23,881$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed No66c22,775$14,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,857.4936031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1094…b17abacked Yes42c22,591$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,600633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed No67c22,400$14,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,50444144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No65c21,427$13,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,438.4226841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d5c…d8f2backed No73c21,061$15,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,782.542360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b68…59ecbacked Yes34c20,997$7,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0342330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69d0…6732backed Yes9c20,150$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.281338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Yes12c20,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3002934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes33c20,000$6,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6509839.8%39 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes41c19,293$7,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,916.0842043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No67c19,026$12,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,373.6248441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No66c17,429$11,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,848.589150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f83…d8a3backed No73c17,276$12,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,664.521637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd10…416fbacked No60c17,225$10,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,8248237.8%31 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No67c17,000$11,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,687.4750243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x578e…c3c0backed Yes34c16,699$5,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,594.038951.7%46 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes40c16,644$6,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,628.2823540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Yes10c16,297$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.4115335.3%54 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Yes25c16,000$3,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,95018837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb675…5400backed Yes40c16,000$6,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4191145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcd…e3d7backed Yes12c15,758$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.8810939.4%43 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes29c15,735$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,600.355322.6%12 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-51.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2463…e21bbacked Yes33c14,747$4,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,938.5526836.9%99 W · 169 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1e0…206dbacked Yes35c14,500$5,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,038.758826.1%23 W · 65 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69d5…7767backed No66c14,500$9,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,002.495244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80c7…925cbacked Yes33c14,381$4,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,817.562748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed No65c14,262$9,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,063.0710251%52 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd25a…c956backed Yes32c13,310$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2005911.9%7 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-77.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes39c13,007$5,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,012.5933337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31e2…df57backed No69c12,773$8,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,020.193452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes30c12,665$3,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,798.3465835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes59c12,587$7,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,376.4718443.5%80 W · 104 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.