Fifa International · resolved market
Will England win on 2026-07-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbb20aee74d8d120db212bc10c1fc915a412a758117a64ed6ff6f3948c2f7d66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,582,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,023,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,582,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 5,966 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8042…3680backed No | 64c | 1,701,304$1,095,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605,345.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Yes | 33c | 1,414,235$470,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470,071.08 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 1,137,537$746,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390,791.53 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes | 36c | 1,107,889$398,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398,840.15 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5d…c370backed Yes | 36c | 551,724$200,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 36c | 450,714$161,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161,436.8 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9243…658ebacked No | 64c | 449,996$286,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163,123.58 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed No | 64c | 440,594$283,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157,497.22 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 63c | 392,867$248,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144,296.6 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f0…5355backed No | 64c | 385,329$246,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138,718.34 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…d245backed No | 64c | 378,265$241,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137,121.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 36c | 377,601$136,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136,029.22 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 35c | 327,928$115,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,374.82 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…73c3backed Yes | 36c | 266,740$94,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,943.29 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 31c | 266,422$83,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,702.68 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 63c | 257,782$161,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,225.57 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed No | 66c | 249,597$163,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,110.81 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked No | 64c | 222,066$141,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,498.8 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…c771backed Yes | 37c | 217,074$80,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,591.4 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b8…430abacked Yes | 35c | 205,885$72,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,576.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 33c | 200,000$66,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,499.99 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…06f6backed Yes | 35c | 177,777$62,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,506.33 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…232fbacked No | 65c | 172,845$112,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,815.13 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes | 1c | 164,030$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.87 | 146 | 8.2%12 W · 134 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked Yes | 36c | 150,000$53,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,625 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 65c | 149,999$96,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,249.5 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 59c | 139,341$82,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,542.83 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Yes | 35c | 132,872$47,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,029.12 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked No | 65c | 132,141$85,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,425.63 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 67c | 128,560$85,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,565.49 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed No | 64c | 123,892$79,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,853.86 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 64c | 120,029$76,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,096.69 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +11.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 34c | 114,033$38,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,522.09 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 65c | 113,800$73,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,389.83 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 113,636$72,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,765.74 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…18e7backed No | 60c | 110,962$66,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,604.6 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 36c | 105,447$37,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,691.19 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 36c | 104,120$37,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,743.51 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed No | 64c | 100,000$63,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,250 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x157e…add7backed Yes | 1c | 97,854$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 7c | 94,215$6,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,871.14 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Yes | 36c | 90,000$32,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,250 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 64c | 89,977$57,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,282.99 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…a463backed No | 64c | 89,943$57,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,431.07 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Yes | 36c | 88,975$32,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,999.92 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 64c | 85,451$54,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,633.32 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed Yes | 34c | 84,717$29,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,000 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 36c | 84,506$30,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,692.71 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 65c | 84,286$54,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,731.56 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed No | 64c | 84,059$53,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,471.48 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 36c | 81,876$29,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,383.13 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…6e10backed Yes | 35c | 80,069$28,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,224.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 45c | 76,977$34,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,343.63 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a4…561bbacked Yes | 3c | 76,575$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.86 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked No | 65c | 75,000$48,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,549.85 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b4…23febacked Yes | 35c | 67,950$23,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,867.38 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes | 65c | 67,379$43,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,648.97 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 55c | 66,194$36,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,880.1 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 63c | 66,066$41,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,676.44 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf271…acf2backed Yes | 36c | 63,830$22,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,744.4 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked No | 64c | 63,589$41,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,588.01 | 335 | 49%164 W · 171 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e2…9e36backed No | 67c | 59,880$40,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,610.93 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 64c | 59,481$37,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,561.98 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 65c | 58,000$37,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,102.49 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…7d21backed Yes | 0c | 58,000$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked Yes | 2c | 57,395$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.29 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes | 36c | 55,172$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 50c | 54,501$27,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,089.02 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 64c | 54,293$34,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,454.07 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 64c | 54,228$34,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,306.8 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1f87backed Yes | 36c | 54,154$19,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,641.35 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…f0b5backed Yes | 36c | 53,606$19,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,348.52 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked No | 65c | 52,681$34,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,656.34 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x119b…ac3ebacked Yes | 36c | 48,657$17,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,516.42 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed No | 64c | 48,518$31,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,390.06 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…3c4ebacked Yes | 38c | 47,554$18,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,271.38 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 35c | 45,828$16,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,213.26 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 66c | 43,446$28,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,921.54 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 42,699$27,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,368.82 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed No | 64c | 42,686$27,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,377.92 | 474 | 42.8%203 W · 271 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Yes | 37c | 42,265$15,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,584.16 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…edf8backed No | 64c | 41,550$26,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,958 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Yes | 35c | 41,224$14,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,546.43 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes | 36c | 41,200$14,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,935 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 62c | 40,504$25,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,455.54 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 64c | 40,394$26,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,363.4 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 39,432$24,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,231.38 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b7…e6e8backed Yes | 36c | 39,316$14,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,251.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes | 33c | 39,306$12,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,867.17 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 66c | 39,157$25,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,373.31 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…5f53backed No | 67c | 38,890$26,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,810.86 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…ff9bbacked Yes | 36c | 38,621$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 36c | 38,138$13,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,824.95 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Yes | 35c | 36,755$12,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,956.22 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 64c | 35,055$22,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,534.42 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked No | 69c | 33,750$23,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,316.96 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…ca29backed Yes | 35c | 33,700$11,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,879.25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb89…c7ebbacked Yes | 2c | 33,134$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x171b…5179backed Yes | 36c | 32,676$11,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,845.11 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a58…a249backed Yes | 1c | 30,982$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England win on 2026-07-15?this page
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?Yes won
- Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.