Fifa International · resolved market
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadf4acda3ae836e6c4f6646eaa940c7934d1b97de2a8f7a51ff585139e8f693a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,499,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,051,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,499,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 5,788 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked No | 69c | 737,785$506,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506,128.95 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 549,012$418,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418,422.39 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 70c | 403,189$282,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282,154.12 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes | 27c | 370,000$100,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269,249.88 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 32c | 319,802$101,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218,437.53 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked Yes | 30c | 249,672$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174,672 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 64c | 198,905$128,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128,238.68 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7af7…4c89backed Yes | 32c | 182,249$57,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,384.95 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed No | 68c | 176,142$120,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,216.99 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Yes | 36c | 163,755$59,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,254.86 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ac…f764backed Yes | 26c | 154,613$40,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,559.11 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 70c | 154,233$108,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,243.99 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 145,427$77,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,033.12 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 25c | 145,325$35,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,542.4 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 40c | 144,321$58,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,215.13 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55f9…8615backed No | 69c | 136,315$93,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,719.71 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 73c | 130,973$95,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,273.68 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 32c | 119,848$38,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,583.53 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed No | 69c | 99,999$68,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,999.2 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 27c | 99,992$26,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,036.42 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…98b7backed Yes | 32c | 94,414$29,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,437.68 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…332bbacked Yes | 32c | 90,647$28,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,866.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +215%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 77c | 90,271$69,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,065.42 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 33c | 88,569$29,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,981.01 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked No | 68c | 87,764$59,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,882.1 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…3c4ebacked Yes | 21c | 85,787$17,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,984.47 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 32c | 76,952$24,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,480.98 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked No | 69c | 75,000$51,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,573.53 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 62c | 72,575$44,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,740.81 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked No | 45c | 71,129$32,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,296.42 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd133…ef27backed Yes | 32c | 67,389$21,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,026.82 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 10c | 67,323$6,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,430.9 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 13c | 64,362$8,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,570.41 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked No | 20c | 63,060$12,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,339.15 | 208 | 39.4%82 W · 126 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…035abacked Yes | 25c | 62,978$16,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,971.73 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…18e7backed No | 80c | 62,809$50,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,161.12 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 60c | 61,020$36,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,107.97 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked No | 68c | 59,999$41,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,999.59 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…416fbacked Yes | 16c | 57,705$9,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,314.3 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed No | 69c | 56,999$39,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,112.15 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked No | 68c | 56,317$38,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,558.54 | 335 | 49%164 W · 171 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 55,779$38,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,137.9 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…9cf8backed Yes | 31c | 51,415$16,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,347.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +138%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddd…c933backed No | 68c | 51,052$34,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,588.04 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…2f2cbacked No | 68c | 49,999$34,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,124.16 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…7e90backed No | 7c | 49,874$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.61 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed Yes | 8c | 49,581$4,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,449.82 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes | 30c | 48,677$14,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,190.4 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 58c | 48,382$28,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,149.16 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 58c | 45,263$26,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,088.21 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked No | 3c | 45,123$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.03 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 41,878$28,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,684.12 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 65c | 37,665$24,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,662.93 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f2…2523backed No | 8c | 37,662$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.15 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ad…739abacked Yes | 32c | 33,259$10,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,699.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…c67fbacked Yes | 31c | 32,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…ff9bbacked Yes | 31c | 31,200$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,450 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…3721backed Yes | 13c | 31,073$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,173 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…85efbacked Yes | 32c | 30,780$9,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,084.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…a05ebacked Yes | 31c | 30,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,600 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed No | 69c | 29,996$20,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,547.58 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No | 20c | 29,160$5,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,716.6 | 229 | 33.6%77 W · 152 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked No | 69c | 28,000$19,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,319.89 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed No | 70c | 28,000$19,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,484.44 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb0…f8babacked No | 71c | 27,514$19,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,555.18 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 43c | 27,420$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,699.72 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf3…1dafbacked Yes | 31c | 27,000$8,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,530 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 2c | 26,684$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.74 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb65…5dc6backed Yes | 32c | 26,168$8,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,860.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 67c | 26,014$17,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,557.7 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…b180backed Yes | 32c | 25,197$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,196.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 72c | 25,000$18,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,062.5 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Yes | 32c | 25,000$7,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,125 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 61c | 24,262$14,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,403.03 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772d…45bbbacked Yes | 29c | 23,974$6,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,993.19 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 19c | 23,742$4,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,566.72 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 77c | 23,615$18,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,144.47 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 23,143$3,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,191.06 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4671…da69backed Yes | 7c | 22,833$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,258.29 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…5d5fbacked Yes | 46c | 22,824$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,323.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed No | 68c | 22,794$15,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,442.68 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Yes | 32c | 22,153$6,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,154.6 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…232fbacked No | 55c | 21,200$11,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,611.96 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 32c | 20,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,600 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…4fffbacked Yes | 32c | 20,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,699.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8474…2511backed Yes | 31c | 20,000$6,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,762.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd432…0624backed Yes | 32c | 20,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,699.86 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked No | 2c | 19,455$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.11 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 26c | 19,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,417.48 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe82d…adc8backed Yes | 26c | 19,231$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,230.77 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bd…ff97backed Yes | 26c | 19,217$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,316.92 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…9198backed Yes | 31c | 19,000$5,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,092.5 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc8…8b0bbacked Yes | 32c | 18,233$5,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,444.22 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 18,000$12,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,240 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9032…8717backed Yes | 31c | 17,543$5,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,104.76 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…728fbacked Yes | 8c | 17,404$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,011.91 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…fc59backed Yes | 9c | 16,748$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,248.01 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…d33fbacked Yes | 32c | 16,212$5,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,021.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…6be9backed Yes | 31c | 16,000$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,004.98 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +6.2wins | +0.39per pick | 43cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5461…c1adbacked Yes | 26c | 15,960$4,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,875.71 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?this page
- Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?No won
- Will England win on 2026-07-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.