TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,499,622
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,051,340

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,499,622 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 5,788 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6754…e3bcbacked No69c737,785$506,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506,128.9515456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c549,012$418,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418,422.394,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No70c403,189$282,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282,154.1274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes27c370,000$100,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269,249.8822348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Yes32c319,802$101,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218,437.5377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee8…89debacked Yes30c249,672$75,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174,6725942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No64c198,905$128,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128,238.682,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7af7…4c89backed Yes32c182,249$57,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124,384.951330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed No68c176,142$120,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120,216.995451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Yes36c163,755$59,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,254.8613036.2%47 W · 83 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ac…f764backed Yes26c154,613$40,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114,559.116543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No70c154,233$108,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108,243.9936939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes53c145,427$77,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,033.128,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes25c145,325$35,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109,542.432429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes40c144,321$58,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,215.135322.6%12 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-51.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x55f9…8615backed No69c136,315$93,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,719.711850%9 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No73c130,973$95,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95,273.6842541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes32c119,848$38,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,583.5379231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed No69c99,999$68,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,999.217949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes27c99,992$26,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,036.4265835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c81…98b7backed Yes32c94,414$29,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,437.682714.8%4 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…332bbacked Yes32c90,647$28,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,866.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+215%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No77c90,271$69,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,065.4224441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes33c88,569$29,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,981.0175729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked No68c87,764$59,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,882.14252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf787…3c4ebacked Yes21c85,787$17,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,984.471926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes32c76,952$24,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,480.9829916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked No69c75,000$51,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,573.5334247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes62c72,575$44,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,740.8175335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked No45c71,129$32,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,296.4237223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd133…ef27backed Yes32c67,389$21,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,026.8213842.8%59 W · 79 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No10c67,323$6,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,430.944539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No13c64,362$8,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,570.4115844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked No20c63,060$12,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,339.1520839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x440a…035abacked Yes25c62,978$16,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,971.731414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-54.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99c4…18e7backed No80c62,809$50,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,161.1213037.7%49 W · 81 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes60c61,020$36,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,107.9731945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked No68c59,999$41,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,999.596627.3%18 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd10…416fbacked Yes16c57,705$9,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,314.38237.8%31 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed No69c56,999$39,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,112.1510653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked No68c56,317$38,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,558.5433549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No68c55,779$38,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,137.93,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1393…9cf8backed Yes31c51,415$16,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,347.693100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+138%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ddd…c933backed No68c51,052$34,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,588.042176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked No68c49,999$34,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,124.164178%32 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa2a0…7e90backed No7c49,874$3,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,539.618037.5%30 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed Yes8c49,581$4,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,449.828226.8%22 W · 60 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes30c48,677$14,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,190.418929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes58c48,382$28,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,149.1642043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes58c45,263$26,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,088.2133337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No3c45,123$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.0323540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No68c41,878$28,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,684.123,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No65c37,665$24,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,662.9356541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f2…2523backed No8c37,662$2,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,969.157432.4%24 W · 50 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ad…739abacked Yes32c33,259$10,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,699.05425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x620d…c67fbacked Yes31c32,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,0001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…ff9bbacked Yes31c31,200$9,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,4506913%9 W · 60 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-58.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1d…3721backed Yes13c31,073$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,1732138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+56.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507c…85efbacked Yes32c30,780$9,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,084.32944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447f…a05ebacked Yes31c30,000$9,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,6003562.9%22 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed No69c29,996$20,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,547.586159%36 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No20c29,160$5,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,716.622933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x072f…ffddbacked No69c28,000$19,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,319.898450%42 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed No70c28,000$19,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,484.4411552.2%60 W · 55 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdb0…f8babacked No71c27,514$19,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,555.181384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick63cpaid+47%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No43c27,420$11,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,699.7245039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcf3…1dafbacked Yes31c27,000$8,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,530862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No2c26,684$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.7451514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb65…5dc6backed Yes32c26,168$8,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,860.63837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes67c26,014$17,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,557.72,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd362…b180backed Yes32c25,197$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,196.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No72c25,000$18,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,062.517842.7%76 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b8c…1556backed Yes32c25,000$7,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,1251656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes61c24,262$14,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,403.0324443%105 W · 139 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x772d…45bbbacked Yes29c23,974$6,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,993.196819.1%13 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-52.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No19c23,742$4,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,566.723,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No77c23,615$18,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,144.4726841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes17c23,143$3,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,191.063,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4671…da69backed Yes7c22,833$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,258.291520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid+87.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x472b…5d5fbacked Yes46c22,824$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,323.741136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed No68c22,794$15,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,442.6812255.7%68 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes32c22,153$6,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,154.624028.8%69 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fab…232fbacked No55c21,200$11,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,611.963534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes32c20,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,60059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…4fffbacked Yes32c20,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,699.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+58.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8474…2511backed Yes31c20,000$6,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,762.44944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd432…0624backed Yes32c20,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,699.862568%17 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked No2c19,455$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.1134731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes26c19,417$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,417.489148.4%44 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe82d…adc8backed Yes26c19,231$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,230.771520%3 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96bd…ff97backed Yes26c19,217$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,316.921513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed Yes31c19,000$5,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,092.58453.6%45 W · 39 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcc8…8b0bbacked Yes32c18,233$5,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,444.221118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-40.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c18,000$12,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,2401,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9032…8717backed Yes31c17,543$5,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,104.764042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf0…728fbacked Yes8c17,404$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,011.915123.5%12 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6c…fc59backed Yes9c16,748$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,248.015728.1%16 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x026b…d33fbacked Yes32c16,212$5,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,021.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+56.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d4d…6be9backed Yes31c16,000$4,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,004.981681.3%13 W · 3 L+6.2wins+0.39per pick43cpaid+92.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5461…c1adbacked Yes26c15,960$4,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,875.712055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.