TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x96bd…ff97

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Mls, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 57 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,649Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,649.25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+292.2%+$14,316.92
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,654Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,653.92
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,359.31
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,285.47
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$616.31
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$573.75
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$577.79
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$579.23
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$524.47
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$644
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$759Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+447.4%+$3,394.06
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.86
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.87
All 15 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29.2
Will FC Vaduz win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$57.2
Will FC København win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$210
Will Floriana FC win on 2026-07-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
Will FK Vardar Skopje win on 2026-07-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$1,320.15
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,242.43
Will FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.2
Will FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.5
Will PAOK win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$16.7
Will Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.07
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.56
Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$112.5
Will FC Malisheva win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$286.99
Will FC Spartak Trnava vs. FK CSKA 1948 Sofia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$571Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+142.3%+$811.81
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+368.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+77.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-53.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$28.6
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$94.87
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,176Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+51.7%+$607.45
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+60.3%+$36.83
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$77.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$20.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.