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Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FK Vardar Skopje win on 2026-07-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,203
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,415

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,203 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No24c10,778$2,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,561.6365943.9%289 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed No69c8,744$6,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,040.9218037.8%68 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c7,840$2,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,196.183,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes74c6,014$4,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.993,24742.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L+4.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No28c4,115$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.332,79534.8%973 W · 1,822 L-86.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No31c3,659$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.8638431.5%121 W · 263 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes78c2,692$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.319738.1%37 W · 60 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked Yes73c2,059$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.29560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96bd…ff97backed Yes19c1,630$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.151457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes13c1,520$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.44219%8 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid+4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0874…6277backed Yes5c1,468$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.85475%3 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick26cpaid+596.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes52c1,291$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.5613767.2%92 W · 45 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda17…9b48backed Yes73c1,170$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.273100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+88.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed No4c1,042$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.683839.5%15 W · 23 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick29cpaid-8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes75c1,000$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.0514434.7%50 W · 94 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0482…f72abacked No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30013270.5%93 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No43c963.54$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.5140844.4%181 W · 227 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes40c955.45$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.7229959.5%178 W · 121 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No59c931.89$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.2993341.4%386 W · 547 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes5c819.03$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.969520%19 W · 76 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+62.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes25c767.35$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.6414749%72 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes73c483$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.41933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e2f…5d2ebacked No55c454.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd385…34fbbacked No58c427.01$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.71450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked No12c405$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.857572%54 W · 21 L+19.6wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+83.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Yes12c395.25$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.825427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Yes76c349$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8735746.2%165 W · 192 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc338…f3d0backed Yes12c325.33$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+495.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Yes16c312.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.53917.9%7 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Yes68c310$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.22875%21 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked Yes11c309.29$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.272231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes16c285.01$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.8229337.9%111 W · 182 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes34c282.7$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.9585260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes22c277.52$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.4730345.2%137 W · 166 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Yes12c250$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2207953.2%42 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes38c249.66$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.883855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes64c233$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4212873.4%94 W · 34 L+19.8wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+34.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed No27c223.02$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.465257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a7a…6c9abacked Yes6c206.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.951618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes13c206.3$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.641,21936.3%442 W · 777 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No37c206$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.121351.6%110 W · 103 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No30c191.23$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0453747.9%257 W · 280 L-1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes12c183.7$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.6614839.9%59 W · 89 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ca3…2d23backed Yes16c181.25$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.25812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No35c174.02$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1916045%72 W · 88 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes36c170$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3438347.8%183 W · 200 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes59c162$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.532161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc0b…e3a8backed Yes43c160.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.981154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes52c160.8$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9819463.4%123 W · 71 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes32c155.19$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9658061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes12c148.53$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3634449.1%169 W · 175 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No33c145$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.273951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+72.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14aa…fa9bbacked Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c78…c49fbacked Yes20c135$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes11c134.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2626417.8%47 W · 217 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfda8…dc42backed Yes71c121.49$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed No60c120.1$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.69862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No46c118.8$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.923245.3%105 W · 127 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No32c106.89$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6234754.8%190 W · 157 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Yes12c106.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7241343.3%179 W · 234 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.85736.8%21 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6fc…cf21backed Yes20c96.15$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.921915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes34c94.2$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7421847.7%104 W · 114 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x126d…32a5backed Yes14c92.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.24425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid+78.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes64c89$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2511368.1%77 W · 36 L+15.2wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+23.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Yes61c86.82$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.931856%178 W · 140 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes28c79$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0853564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc551…cec1backed Yes16c62.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No36c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.65255.8%29 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc75…3efbbacked No36c54.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes42c51.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1842957.1%245 W · 184 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Yes37c51.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.045667.9%38 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes58c40.52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2285142%357 W · 494 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes73c39.74$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.552548%12 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+198.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x880b…90a8backed Yes73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.25580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+44.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes35c30.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7529470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2217…b756backed Yes67c30.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22f8…3925backed Yes72c27.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes67c26.14$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6817059.4%101 W · 69 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed No73c26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.982948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f5e…980bbacked Yes71c25.1$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.28887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick67cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ee5…5e7dbacked Yes74c22.97$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.65151%26 W · 25 L-7.5wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No57c18.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8647036%169 W · 301 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.