TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5f5e…980b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT3023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-67.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$53.01
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$11.56
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.67
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.19
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$105.83
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$87.94
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$546.11
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.04
Will Dundee United FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$55.65
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-07-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14.81
Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-07-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$18.64
Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.8
Will Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.55
FC København vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.96
Exact Score: IF Elfsborg 1 - 1 IK Sirius?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.38
Exact Score: IF Elfsborg 0 - 1 IK Sirius?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: IF Elfsborg 0 - 0 IK Sirius?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: IF Elfsborg 0 - 2 IK Sirius?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Molde FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Molde FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$315.58
IK Start vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.54
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-07-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$64.68
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-07-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$38.86
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$78.43
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: Team to Advancebacked Larne FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.56
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$22.89
Will FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.03
Will FK Sutjeska Nikšić win on 2026-07-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Qairat FK 1 - 0 FK Sutjeska Nikšić?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Qairat FK 0 - 0 FK Sutjeska Nikšić?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: Qairat FK O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$63.31
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick67cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$26.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$54.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$10.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hannover 96 vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$233
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.