Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bc2134563f6678af406015f252abad667aef4413a4c140d53ccca7e3abb78a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 63c | 11,143$6,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,989.87 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 21c | 8,672$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.43 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 78c | 7,742$6,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.09 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 6c | 7,656$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.26 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 7,421$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.66 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fb…d07cbacked No | 5c | 6,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +424.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 38c | 5,931$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,706.63 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 22c | 1,705$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.83 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 36c | 958.81$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 63c | 952.79$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.68 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 17c | 792.88$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.81 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 65c | 758.54$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 37c | 668.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.23 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked No | 4c | 625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Yes | 37c | 391.6$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Yes | 61c | 328.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed No | 22c | 322$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 48c | 302.93$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.52 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 4c | 299.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 37c | 288.2$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.79 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 35c | 287.86$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.11 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 26c | 276.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…ef2bbacked Yes | 39c | 263.21$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 37c | 248.85$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.77 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 37c | 240.01$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.21 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 38c | 235.47$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.99 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 39c | 197.35$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.39 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 17c | 195.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…529ebacked No | 62c | 177.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 37c | 169.3$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.66 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Yes | 37c | 158.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 37c | 149.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7a…c69fbacked No | 64c | 147$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 22c | 122.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 72c | 104.79$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 36c | 96.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 63c | 94.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 37c | 93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 41c | 91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 27c | 90.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 71c | 79.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…c6f9backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 33c | 74.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked No | 61c | 73.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 40c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1367…9a3abacked No | 18c | 56.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5e…980bbacked Yes | 36c | 54.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 22c | 53.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 40c | 53.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 23c | 46.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 38c | 44.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 36c | 44.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Yes | 38c | 43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 60c | 41.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 55c | 40.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 38c | 40.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 39c | 37.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 46c | 31.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…6600backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 35c | 29.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…1bb7backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9ba2backed No | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 63c | 16.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?No won
- Will ADO Den Haag win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.