Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9992af572ad7162459c700b804e615cb3a6d11b746f49459750890b04fb12c34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 3c | 2,378$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 663 | 41.6%276 W · 387 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 999.99$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 792 | 50.1%397 W · 395 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 7c | 975.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 663.51$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.15 | 872 | 50.2%438 W · 434 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 548.43$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.08 | 1,471 | 37.8%556 W · 915 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 27c | 350$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Yes | 25c | 329$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.74 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 73c | 284.97$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.94 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3341…d7e4backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 24c | 165$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 482 | 26.8%129 W · 353 L | -32.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 76c | 125.14$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 376 | 39.6%149 W · 227 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Yes | 12c | 124.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 78c | 87.18$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 27c | 76.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 781 | 39.8%311 W · 470 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 45.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 2,588 | 52.1%1,348 W · 1,240 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 45.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 2,132 | 47.9%1,022 W · 1,110 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 72c | 40.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…9be0backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed No | 80c | 31.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 267 | 52.4%140 W · 127 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,001 | 53.3%534 W · 467 L | +23.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed No | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?this page
- Will ADO Den Haag win on 2026-08-16?No won
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-08-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.