TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe5dd…9be0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$10.05
AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.81
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.68
Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-2.5)backed Go Ahead Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.25
Will ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Spread: NEC (-1.5)backed NEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$19.19
NEC vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.19
KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.54
SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Kristiansund BK vs. IK Start: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$7.92
All 17 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$8.13
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)backed Avispa Fukuoka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+95.5%+$27.35
Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.06
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+40%+$12
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Spread: Cerezo Ōsaka (-1.5)backed Fagiano Okayama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.64
Gangwon FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$17.62
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-69.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.78
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.68
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.37
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.4
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.25
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)backed Qatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+733.3%+$158.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winter Games 2026: Will USA or Norway earn more medals? backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.