Asian League · resolved market

Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x812da04d9c3503a258d9ded25b00625536d999a48442ede73ad153939ec0568b

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $55,818
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $56,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,818 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Asian League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x547f…2937backed Under	67c	22,913$15,309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,309.49	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	35c	10,613$3,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,947.42	870	43%374 W · 496 L	+24.1wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	32c	7,660$2,469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,191.7	2,650	40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L	-17.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	24c	7,522$1,775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,746.76	2,612	37.8%988 W · 1,624 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce08…3574backed Under	73c	6,721$4,888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,888.09	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	37c	4,932$1,835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,097.39	993	44.4%441 W · 552 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Under	74c	2,043$1,502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,501.66	72	56.9%41 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over	34c	735.29$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485.29	96	45.8%44 W · 52 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	66c	675.65$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.93	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over	46c	599.99$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.99	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	+7.1wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	67c	577.42$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.78	1,575	35.2%554 W · 1,021 L	-36.4wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under	67c	522.38$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.99	93	14%13 W · 80 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	33c	471.97$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.22	1,656	50.8%841 W · 815 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	65c	412.22$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.69	6,028	46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L	+50.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under	66c	399.96$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.98	155	49.7%77 W · 78 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	33c	395.2$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.85	890	38.1%339 W · 551 L	+16.8wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	31c	361.32$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.26	1,365	45.5%621 W · 744 L	+14.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over	32c	312.5$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.5	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c57…a7debacked Under	57c	236.43$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.72	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.24per pick	37cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over	43c	213.93$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.94	146	29.5%43 W · 103 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfbe…ccebbacked Over	46c	195.76$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.76	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Under	65c	195.38$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.29per pick	54cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	28c	191.24$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.31	1,804	36.6%660 W · 1,144 L	-28.0wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Under	51c	188.33$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under	59c	169.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	49	61.2%30 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	67cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Under	72c	135.14$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	121	43%52 W · 69 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under	65c	122.38$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.55	358	33%118 W · 240 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Under	66c	112.74$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.29	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb0…5390backed Over	42c	109.33$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.41	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+3.1wins	+0.24per pick	46cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over	21c	95.24$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.24	110	40.9%45 W · 65 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2827…4ee7backed Over	21c	95.24$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.24	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	35cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under	70c	72.52$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.54	273	37%101 W · 172 L	-19.7wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	31c	64.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.49	793	55.4%439 W · 354 L	+36.3wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ccf…99ecbacked Over	36c	55.56$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.56	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c1…dc25backed Over	33c	55$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.85	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	54cpaid	+43.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under	65c	54$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.29	202	60.4%122 W · 80 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Under	76c	52.63$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	82	65.9%54 W · 28 L	-6.7wins	-0.08per pick	74cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under	60c	52.26$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.42	107	42.1%45 W · 62 L	-7.9wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Over	40c	50.05$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.03	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+4.2wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Under	51c	49.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf756…3a81backed Under	69c	43.7$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06c…561dbacked Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Over	33c	37.88$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.38	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	+7.1wins	+0.20per pick	31cpaid	+99.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x70a0…2dc3backed Over	33c	37.88$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.38	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+8.5wins	+0.21per pick	31cpaid	+106.9%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0xb49f…8c93backed Under	59c	37.29$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5dd…9be0backed Under	59c	36$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.06	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under	51c	33.27$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.11	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under	63c	32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.29	91	52.7%48 W · 43 L	+6.0wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+10%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a34…a28bbacked Under	65c	31.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.07	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-2.7wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	60c	31$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.55	311	46%143 W · 168 L	-12.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Over	35c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	205	39%80 W · 125 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	66c	30$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	590	46.6%275 W · 315 L	-20.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	68c	29.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.71	333	60.7%202 W · 131 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	60c	28.28$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.19	287	46.3%133 W · 154 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over	69c	25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb08…0235backed Under	60c	25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	68c	21.72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.77	1,196	46.2%553 W · 643 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc6b3…3783backed Under	67c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.2wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd97…ae50backed Under	72c	18$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 3.5this page
Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: Kashiwa Reysol O/U 0.5Over won
Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: Kashiwa Reysol O/U 1.5Over won
Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 0.5Over won
Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 1.5Over won
Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5Over won
Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 4.5Over won
Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 5.5Over won
Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: V-Varen Nagasaki O/U 1.5Over won
Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: V-Varen Nagasaki O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5)Kashiwa Reysol won
Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-2.5)V-Varen Nagasaki won
Spread: V-Varen Nagasaki (-1.5)Kashiwa Reysol won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event