TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
V-Varen Nagasakiof Kashiwa Reysol, V-Varen Nagasaki
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,286
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,315

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,286 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Kashiwa Reysol31c6,831$2,093 inLost-$2,092.6682842.4%351 W · 477 L+19.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed V-Varen Nagasaki80c5,821$4,657 inWon+$1,164.5374739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Kashiwa Reysol13c5,733$769 inLost-$768.572,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed V-Varen Nagasaki69c3,618$2,512 inWon+$1,105.265,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Kashiwa Reysol19c861.44$161 inLost-$160.6389245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed V-Varen Nagasaki70c362.52$253 inWon+$109.832544%11 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Kashiwa Reysol20c335.39$67 inLost-$67.082,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked V-Varen Nagasaki70c142.86$100 inWon+$42.864961.2%30 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked V-Varen Nagasaki80c126.01$101 inWon+$25.26382.5%52 W · 11 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed V-Varen Nagasaki70c126$88 inWon+$38.0718161.9%112 W · 69 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Kashiwa Reysol23c100$23 inLost-$2311731.6%37 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Kashiwa Reysol20c90$18 inLost-$18.353946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed V-Varen Nagasaki70c71.63$50 inWon+$21.527553.3%40 W · 35 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Kashiwa Reysol18c64.14$12 inLost-$11.5424061.7%148 W · 92 L+17.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74bf…f43dbacked Kashiwa Reysol33c57.33$19 inLost-$18.921323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Kashiwa Reysol35c57.2$20 inLost-$19.972759.3%16 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+54.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed V-Varen Nagasaki71c55.09$39 inWon+$15.9531960.2%192 W · 127 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked V-Varen Nagasaki55c50$28 inWon+$22.58143.2%35 W · 46 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed V-Varen Nagasaki76c39.47$30 inWon+$9.471776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed V-Varen Nagasaki70c39.32$27 inWon+$11.951861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked V-Varen Nagasaki69c26.84$18 inWon+$8.383956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.