Asian League · resolved market
Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9431f173012e4983d50c1b172e4ef6c1081327c5ec9933c5aaf8d3fdfb48338b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 1,709$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.31 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 52c | 1,218$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.34 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 854.5$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.38 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 48c | 845.32$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.76 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…a5fbbacked Yes | 52c | 841.31$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.83 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 52c | 693.95$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.14 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 47c | 656.73$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.92 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829e…339cbacked No | 12c | 579.09$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa937…a334backed No | 12c | 511.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 53c | 485$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.05 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 45c | 292.31$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.31 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 51c | 199.97$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 134.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 48c | 123.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 34c | 119.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1d…2dd6backed Yes | 53c | 115.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes | 52c | 99.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 49c | 93.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed No | 51c | 86.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…1cc0backed Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 48c | 75.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked No | 47c | 72.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 48c | 67.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked No | 49c | 55.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 34c | 55.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…dc25backed Yes | 42c | 45.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 54c | 43.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…3319backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 44c | 33.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 47c | 22.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: Kashiwa Reysol O/U 0.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: Kashiwa Reysol O/U 1.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 0.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 3.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: V-Varen Nagasaki O/U 1.5Over won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: V-Varen Nagasaki O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5)Kashiwa Reysol won
- Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-2.5)V-Varen Nagasaki won
- Spread: V-Varen Nagasaki (-1.5)Kashiwa Reysol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.