TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,375
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,375 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86da…6428backed Under44c49,189$21,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,550.21353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over56c28,998$16,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,771.4782542.4%350 W · 475 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c8,072$3,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,632.755,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over57c8,027$4,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,455.4273538.6%284 W · 451 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over56c7,500$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3003946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Over56c6,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6403855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under34c4,846$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.612139.7%48 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under48c4,037$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.881,61736.3%587 W · 1,030 L-34.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over56c3,500$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.9812545.6%57 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over58c2,775$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.312,46740.3%993 W · 1,474 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed Over48c2,174$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.391450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over56c2,141$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.074548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32be…6da7backed Over56c1,992$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.27580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over56c1,379$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.953243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over60c1,260$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.1787645.1%395 W · 481 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Under45c1,257$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.46862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over56c1,122$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.791,43435.2%505 W · 929 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Under54c1,111$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007855.1%43 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under30c1,000$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29911631%36 W · 80 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Over56c731.88$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.881957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Under45c730.77$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.782544%11 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over56c680$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.3716541.2%68 W · 97 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under45c599.97$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9817147.4%81 W · 90 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8c6…4727backed Over56c514.83$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.831080%8 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+124.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2951353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Under44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004344.2%19 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+26.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47c2…d39ebacked Under44c434.78$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.340%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb109…d40fbacked Over55c355$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.17887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+55.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ab6…fad4backed Under46c326$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over72c324.1$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.751580%12 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.862661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under20c255.14$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7226136.8%96 W · 165 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d43…8bcdbacked Under44c254.23$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003619.4%7 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…b67dbacked Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under44c199.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8821052.4%110 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under43c195.62$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6540051%204 W · 196 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under36c180$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644042.5%17 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.446850%34 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8762…0d85backed Over47c173.91$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.17728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Over57c173.87$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.764748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over57c155.61$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.916145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c78…7d67backed Under38c143$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.993237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under45c142$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4617361.3%106 W · 67 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504961.2%30 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under44c137.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7216929%49 W · 120 L+0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0085…1d78backed Under44c128.86$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Under44c127.27$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562544%11 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7f…d002backed Over57c115.4$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.62633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under46c112.64$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2131359.7%187 W · 126 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Over56c110$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.620138.3%77 W · 124 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7538749.6%192 W · 195 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under43c98.4$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3139549.9%197 W · 198 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over46c93$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2227251.1%139 W · 133 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over46c93$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2213861.6%85 W · 53 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Under44c90.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404376.7%33 W · 10 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+28.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7228253.5%151 W · 131 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Under43c83.17$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.76742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over71c77.59$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.742,39737.8%905 W · 1,492 L-3.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under44c72.31$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.031,21450.2%610 W · 604 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under46c69.07$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.771,10946.2%512 W · 597 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Under33c66.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.991127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-60.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under43c65.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0128532.3%92 W · 193 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x853e…f16abacked Over57c64.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.955236.5%19 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over53c63.35$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6826147.9%125 W · 136 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under42c62.53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.26953.6%37 W · 32 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Under45c62.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.051656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under44c62.03$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0553946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xafdd…ae76backed Under42c57.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Under44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510344.7%46 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73fb…c7afbacked Over54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.563100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Under23c54.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.53551.4%18 W · 17 L+7.1wins+0.20per pick31cpaid+99.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x70a0…2dc3backed Under23c54.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.54052.5%21 W · 19 L+8.5wins+0.21per pick31cpaid+106.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Over57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.634566.7%30 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under44c52.13$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.943850%19 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c51.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.341,70750.6%863 W · 844 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcce…6f2abacked Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+83.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd220…e303backed Over58c48.6$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.61050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+57.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Under43c47.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.266437.5%24 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over61c45.69$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6142425.9%110 W · 314 L-32.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-39.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under46c44.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.443956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Under46c43.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.199844.9%44 W · 54 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69d2…a218backed Over57c43.85$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a34…a28bbacked Under45c43.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.612544%11 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd7c…c310backed Under45c43.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3450…cee8backed Under44c40.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.98944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c43…1608backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under44c32.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1819256.8%109 W · 83 L+14.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over63c32.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8739561.8%244 W · 151 L+56.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Over56c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.08757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c1…dc25backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.79771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+43.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3172…7520backed Under53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87d3…a568backed Over57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.321020%2 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-62.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over56c26.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.449851%50 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over77c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5276255.9%426 W · 336 L+38.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b67…07ddbacked Over54c21.81$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under46c21.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.038759.8%52 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.33237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.