TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x65ee…3240

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$321.88
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.63
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+95.8%+$47.92
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 21 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Los Angeles FC to score first vs. Portland Timbers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Minnesota United FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$40.86
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$990
Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$147.76
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$87.42
Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$9.85
Atlanta United FC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
All 17 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tromsø IL vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Tromsø IL vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
Will Larne FC win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+161.3%+$177.38
FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$122.54
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Girona FC vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.53
FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Club León FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
CSyD Macará vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. CA Platense: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Club Cerro Porteño vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$93.87
Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$75.12
CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesligalast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.