TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,033
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,097

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,033 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c6,862$3,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,862.793,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over44c5,682$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,181.8219044.7%85 W · 105 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under57c4,820$2,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,747.791,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over43c3,021$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.281,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Over43c2,500$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4253033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under53c2,274$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.2398945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…b67dbacked Over43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1405100%5 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over68c1,543$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.961,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d17…5297backed Over45c1,232$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.481136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over43c999.97$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.984942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over43c877.8$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.3533346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over44c799.98$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.9910358.3%60 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Under55c699.99$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3853735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over43c618$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.2635550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under56c575.85$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.4772850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c553.31$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.3499340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over43c498.36$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28426450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over80c437$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.452639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over45c398$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.922042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under57c370.33$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.0968150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over65c354.22$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.346944.9%31 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over55c350$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.5825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Over43c332.93$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.776847.1%32 W · 36 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under57c252$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.329944.4%44 W · 55 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under57c239$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2318456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over79c238.56$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.136247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under56c230$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.842947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x859f…0f26backed Over43c218.67$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.644100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+80.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over64c187.88$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.099253.3%49 W · 43 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under57c183.93$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8421547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under23c165$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.261,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under57c164$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4810257.8%59 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over74c162$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8138246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over64c157.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.095759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over43c155.7$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1696756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Over78c153.52$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.775446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under31c151.56$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9887154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41de…deedbacked Under56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90fe…b7b8backed Under57c139.5$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.521931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over43c137.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6652923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbf9…d602backed Over80c134$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under49c133.51$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9416437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d9c…601abacked Over40c133.3$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.21612.5%2 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.27per pick39cpaid-65.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xddb3…5fe5backed Under50c130$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over44c125$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7024326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under36c114.48$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.037659.2%45 W · 31 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over64c113.13$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9610957.8%63 W · 46 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under57c111$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.272763%17 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over51c103.29$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6122841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over73c102$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4936646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5e8…6d91backed Under57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under60c97.07$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2412848.4%62 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under57c87.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.854459.1%26 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over71c76.89$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1582044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under56c73.79$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9814957.7%86 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…21f7backed Over55c64.95$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Under57c56.71$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.321450%7 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over43c53.49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4916948.5%82 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over42c48.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8917258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over64c48$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3619852.5%104 W · 94 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under43c48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6644350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x853e…f16abacked Over43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4516744.3%74 W · 93 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ecf…75d2backed Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Over76c40.82$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.84358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over67c39.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1623350.6%118 W · 115 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Over42c37.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.657339.7%29 W · 44 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under57c37.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.364845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over55c36.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.491735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd47…61e3backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over77c35.15$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0292346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under56c32.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.191,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d41…6a2ebacked Under49c30.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.041154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Over78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.62860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over53c29.9$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1330735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Over67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over78c29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3280249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Under57c26.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.214050%20 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c34…b7adbacked Under58c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4702…2211backed Over44c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…acbabacked Under47c23.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Over64c21.88$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8819073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3561…1bfebacked Over56c21.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under57c21.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.195558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under58c21.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.329654.2%52 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa8af…9426backed Under57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.42969%20 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+32.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over73c18.6$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0219641.3%81 W · 115 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under57c18.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52475%18 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over77c15.1$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.443740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ec7…93d1backed Over76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.57366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.