Mls · resolved market
Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x559a73108dd026c10c378ce8ff41d2fee6cc9c1db3a3bc52feef01f3d7d71aa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 47c | 3,094$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.83 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 76c | 2,360$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.6 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 2,150$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.62 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…92d2backed Under | 74c | 1,542$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 25c | 1,203$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.25 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 75c | 1,105$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.65 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 25c | 1,087$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.87 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 41c | 966.5$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.86 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 51c | 928.17$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.63 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 24c | 784.02$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.96 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 77c | 774.55$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.85 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 73c | 751.36$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.49 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 73c | 647.26$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 27c | 618.37$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.41 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 56c | 611.31$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.52 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 74c | 597.5$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 70c | 527.44$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.81 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Under | 45c | 519.31$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.59 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Over | 79c | 436.1$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 74c | 365.07$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.36 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 18c | 362$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.84 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 78c | 324$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.26 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 27c | 296$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.91 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 28c | 284.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.75 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 25c | 275.95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.58 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 24c | 243.75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.25 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 63c | 234.48$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.02 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 24c | 220$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 25c | 208$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 78c | 205$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 23c | 195.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 18c | 176.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 20c | 139.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…7a71backed Under | 74c | 133.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 72c | 109.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 23c | 108.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.58 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 39c | 80.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 80c | 74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 75c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 32c | 66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Under | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Over | 35c | 57.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Over | 24c | 55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 75c | 54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae26…fdb3backed Over | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 23c | 48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 77c | 47.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Under | 49c | 46.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 29c | 45.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 51c | 36.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 29c | 36.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 80c | 33.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 42c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…acbabacked Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked Under | 75c | 15.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5this page
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 0.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 2.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Nashville SC O/U 0.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-2.5)Nashville SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.