Mls · resolved market
Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ae9d78dfbe14da482e7cb1ba0734350654aa52dd92df4beb8d3f45fd589bcfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 66c | 2,934$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.88 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 34c | 2,613$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.85 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 66c | 1,790$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.45 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 34c | 1,782$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.57 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 76c | 1,365$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.63 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 22c | 962.52$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.75 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 15c | 748.48$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.13 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 14c | 660.63$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 34c | 419.57$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.92 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb23c…61a7backed Over | 65c | 415.38$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Over | 78c | 397.42$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.42 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…e61abacked Over | 68c | 294.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 28c | 283.42$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 35c | 275.21$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 35c | 222.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 34c | 218.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 65c | 188.59$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 65c | 168.37$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 76c | 163.8$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 35c | 114$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 73c | 113$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 71c | 102.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 80c | 98.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 66c | 98.12$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 34c | 97.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 26c | 96.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 27c | 89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 31c | 73.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 34c | 73.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 31c | 68.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…37e0backed Over | 66c | 61.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 35c | 53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 71c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 66c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 35c | 30.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked Over | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 66c | 19.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 65c | 19.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…ba51backed Over | 67c | 17.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2d…31febacked Over | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 0.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 2.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Nashville SC O/U 0.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-2.5)Nashville SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.