Mls · resolved market
Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77d7e9ae9b408fd4e764e1c64ca5fa9d218e90042bc37d486e4e0cac023cccfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 61c | 4,365$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.49 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 32c | 2,739$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.96 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 46c | 1,779$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.15 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 52c | 1,484$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.49 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 67c | 1,270$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.24 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 54c | 1,261$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.59 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 64c | 997.08$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.95 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 12c | 900$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 62c | 642.37$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.68 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 54c | 628.74$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.1 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 79c | 592.14$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.34 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 71c | 442.55$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.75 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 68c | 375.28$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Over | 73c | 360$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 38c | 302.07$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.75 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 9c | 297.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 14c | 275.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 35c | 245$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.78 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 225.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.15 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 53c | 218.71$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 51c | 218.16$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.85 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 79c | 210.94$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 12c | 210$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 48c | 203.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 36c | 199.86$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.26 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.25per pick | 34cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 43c | 188.79$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.11 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 69c | 174.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 70c | 170.21$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03fd…2cd4backed Under | 42c | 152.26$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 60c | 149.41$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.98 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 47c | 142.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Over | 68c | 139.65$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 34c | 121.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 70c | 114.54$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 38c | 112.62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 68c | 112.42$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 43c | 95.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 75c | 91.46$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 58c | 88.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 23c | 86.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 24c | 82.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…6a2ebacked Under | 43c | 77.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 78c | 70.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae26…fdb3backed Over | 75c | 70.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 45c | 69.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 52c | 57.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 51c | 57.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Under | 60c | 56.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 23c | 55.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…56ebbacked Over | 62c | 52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c1…4bddbacked Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…1942backed Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…1597backed Under | 66c | 29.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 45c | 27.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Over | 71c | 25.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 74c | 22.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b52…f071backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 57c | 19.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 5.5this page
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 0.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 2.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Nashville SC O/U 0.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-2.5)Nashville SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.