TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Spread: Nashville SC (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Nashville SCof Nashville SC, Inter Miami CF
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,139
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,369

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,139 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbdd…a5debacked Inter Miami CF11c5,100$576 inLost-$576.2387154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Nashville SC10c4,492$436 inWon+$4,056.3299340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Inter Miami CF22c1,230$275 inLost-$275.0838246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Inter Miami CF34c1,020$343 inLost-$342.52133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Nashville SC9c795.24$69 inWon+$726.111,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Nashville SC66c435$288 inWon+$147.361,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Inter Miami CF8c284.12$23 inLost-$23.3917244.8%77 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nashville SC9c182.58$16 inWon+$166.743,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Nashville SC77c112.7$87 inWon+$26.1780249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Nashville SC58c105.12$61 inWon+$44.154639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Nashville SC73c90$66 inWon+$24.4744447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Inter Miami CF23c84.5$19 inLost-$19.471,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Nashville SC75c68$51 inWon+$17.1144350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Inter Miami CF42c55$23 inLost-$23.17045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Nashville SC70c29$20 inWon+$8.6435247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Nashville SC52c26.36$14 inWon+$12.7236646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Nashville SC64c25.89$16 inWon+$9.419852.5%104 W · 94 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Inter Miami CF57c25$14 inLost-$14.2530957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.