TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,982

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,784 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c781.69$430 inLost-$429.931,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over45c766.13$345 inWon+$421.3739435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over25c516.26$128 inWon+$387.9238246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under50c293.42$148 inLost-$147.671,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under75c229.99$173 inLost-$173.0923350.6%118 W · 115 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under74c213.79$159 inLost-$159.021,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over47c158$74 inWon+$84.491,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed Under52c121.15$63 inLost-$63540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over47c111$52 inWon+$58.8144350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Over48c104.16$50 inWon+$54.162832.1%9 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick24cpaid-27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1bf…b8e1backed Under51c96.15$49 inLost-$48.831020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over58c90.06$53 inWon+$37.5336247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed Under30c78.12$23 inLost-$23.182147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed01…83a8backed Under60c62$37 inLost-$37.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+47%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over33c60$19 inWon+$40.528721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under73c56.26$41 inLost-$41.0752639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under42c53.54$22 inLost-$22.489253.3%49 W · 43 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Under60c45.73$27 inLost-$27.48624.4%21 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over50c36$18 inWon+$183622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-47.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over55c27.83$15 inWon+$12.5480249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over59c20$12 inWon+$8.392346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under57c20$12 inLost-$11.510957.8%63 W · 46 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.