Mls · resolved market
Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83a41098d05c8e8ed7b31d57a0a7d47d4868dd2d64938d59071005afbf37987f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 68c | 5,335$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.67 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 33c | 3,441$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.81 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 31c | 2,729$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.35 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 67c | 1,544$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.57 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 68c | 1,040$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.6 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 33c | 910.37$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.41 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 33c | 544.49$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.16 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 32c | 538.92$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.45 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8612…98a6backed Yes | 74c | 499.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 26c | 469.8$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.15 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 32c | 414.68$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.6 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…ef57backed Yes | 78c | 379.77$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x978b…b60abacked Yes | 68c | 375.66$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3644…eb27backed Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 32c | 275.62$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 199.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 68c | 100.01$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 22c | 99.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 28c | 97.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 67c | 96.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 66c | 88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 33c | 85.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 18c | 81.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…ca7abacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 70c | 73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 67c | 71.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 33c | 70.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Yes | 75c | 69.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 68c | 66.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859f…0f26backed Yes | 67c | 62.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 67c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed No | 32c | 47.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dd…c4c9backed Yes | 68c | 45.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 32c | 39.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…35acbacked Yes | 68c | 30.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 0.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 2.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Nashville SC O/U 0.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-2.5)Nashville SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.