TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$206,273
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$216,063

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,273 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x122b…ac59backed Yes75c20,197$15,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,980.86033.3%20 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes70c19,368$13,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,868.921,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes55c16,571$9,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,397.7612736.2%46 W · 81 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked No24c15,598$3,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,768.71844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+164.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No33c15,000$4,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,874.9810443.3%45 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes56c10,714$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,714.292458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32be…6da7backed Yes56c8,734$4,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,842.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No51c7,176$3,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,668.2916440.9%67 W · 97 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No37c5,004$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.9788137.7%332 W · 549 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No44c4,105$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.4242647.9%204 W · 222 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No30c3,916$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.4945042%189 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b46…8438backed Yes56c3,571$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.431030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No45c3,464$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.7831047.4%147 W · 163 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No44c3,450$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.561447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No45c3,126$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.7932944.7%147 W · 182 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No46c2,878$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.729659.4%57 W · 39 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No44c2,811$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.1441553%220 W · 195 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No44c2,618$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.9859441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No44c2,482$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.9826445.8%121 W · 143 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes52c2,276$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.0427236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6155…808ebacked No16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No45c1,972$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.4410536.2%38 W · 67 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes55c1,892$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.837341.1%30 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes67c1,842$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.0970435.8%252 W · 452 L-27.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f94…cb06backed Yes56c1,738$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No45c1,523$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.834642.2%146 W · 200 L-15.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed Yes64c1,407$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.581442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No44c1,365$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.4912250.8%62 W · 60 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed No44c1,349$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.46850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+138.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No46c1,344$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.852046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed No4c1,290$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.614355.8%24 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked No2c1,250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255623.2%13 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes69c1,138$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.6839443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b4…9fc9backed No44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No45c1,074$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.51643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No44c1,012$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.793658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No47c999.99$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4709018.9%17 W · 73 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4503351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No45c994.15$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.373751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No46c984.4$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.0999435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed Yes77c961.85$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.343240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.934332.6%14 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes71c849.41$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.6317058.8%100 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes71c845.93$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.3730856.8%175 W · 133 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ada…d690backed Yes56c838.16$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.793100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed No63c826.52$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.712661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb550…2799backed No45c774.6$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.57333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ac3…00b2backed Yes66c754.08$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+169.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No44c719.69$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.664129.3%12 W · 29 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked Yes45c712.6$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.091662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+48.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No44c681.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004027.5%11 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-37.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No48c561.68$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.018440.5%34 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefd6…ca34backed No61c558.84$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.662661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed No45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-63.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes80c499.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006267.7%42 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No37c473$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.0459136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No48c450.69$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.332373.9%17 W · 6 L+6.1wins+0.27per pick47cpaid+62.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No46c448.55$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.4425729.6%76 W · 181 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508742.5%37 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes58c432.31$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.571,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8366…54ffbacked No62c423.9$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.61757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed No5c420.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.911315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-79.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0b8…e424backed No48c419.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes73c416.66$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.324454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0777…2d5bbacked Yes50c411.72$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6691…5a83backed Yes52c411.35$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.45450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No43c394.19$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.278040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+88.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf952…602fbacked No28c381.61$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.071612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-79.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Yes51c380$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.4514238%54 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No45c366.35$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.864557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes54c365.59$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.587531.1%272 W · 603 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes55c354.04$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.321533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e5a…96bcbacked Yes75c330$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes75c309$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0623352.8%123 W · 110 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x013f…ca85backed Yes74c308.38$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.561675%12 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No39c306.15$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1212039.2%47 W · 73 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae6a…de5ebacked Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1328038.8%31 W · 49 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf897…7f01backed Yes48c272.92$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.926100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No45c271.59$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.062458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes75c266.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.663461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No6c258$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4817936.9%66 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No38c254.73$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.43151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes52c250.28$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.132142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No36c248.28$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.286437.5%24 W · 40 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8443…2988backed Yes56c242.86$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.86540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No45c208.1$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.649553.7%51 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Yes49c204.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No45c199.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9914255.6%79 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbe6…4a1bbacked No40c199.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.731553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…52adbacked Yes76c197.34$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No44c194.78$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3631342.5%133 W · 180 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf786…25fbbacked Yes60c191$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.41931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+9.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb826…1f85backed Yes66c188.08$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a20…2b3ebacked Yes52c187.23$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.87650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed No44c179.2$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb9…49debacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-45%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf762…d55fbacked No57c167.01$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.111952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.