Champions League · resolved market
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9326639033de859204d7d99cad709e9bdbbe59085d75b47d4d2598602f0a96b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 15c | 3,914$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 73c | 3,650$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.86 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 23c | 2,092$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.2 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 1,816$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.47 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 24c | 1,434$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.09 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3652…c3e0backed Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 78c | 1,189$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.16 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 1,029$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.16 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 77c | 544.76$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.84 | 208 | 32.2%67 W · 141 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 71c | 394.34$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.3 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed No | 65c | 385.96$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.53 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 24c | 372.33$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 353.7$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.35 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 9c | 342.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 76c | 338.16$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.16 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked Yes | 36c | 289$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 80c | 281.95$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf952…602fbacked Yes | 14c | 243.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 23c | 241.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 32c | 237$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.71 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 226.92$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 29c | 210.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Yes | 12c | 197.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 23c | 173.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 24c | 108.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 34c | 106.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 74c | 104.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20aa…b3dcbacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Yes | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +159.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 35c | 98.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 433 | 33.5%145 W · 288 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed No | 70c | 97.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 78c | 94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 31c | 89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed No | 77c | 77.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba3…b461backed Yes | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 28c | 65.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 24c | 60.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 53.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 76c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 78c | 48.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 25c | 46.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 30c | 35.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 70c | 34.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 76c | 33.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…de4fbacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 76cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…a0aabacked No | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4805…4739backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked No | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 13.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 329 | 44.7%147 W · 182 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-11?Yes won
- Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-08-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.